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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: December 1, 2026
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Xi Jinping at 96.5%, followed by Vladimir Putin at 88.5%, Mark Carney at 69.5%. The market has $166.6K in total volume and $2.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 96.5% | +0.3 pts | $13.2K |
| Vladimir Putin | 88.5% | -0.5 pts | $16.7K |
| Mark Carney | 69.5% | +1.5 pts | $15.9K |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 42.1% | +0.4 pts | $7.7K |
| Elon Musk | 33.5% | -1.5 pts | $7.1K |
| Dario Amodei | 27.5% | -1.0 pts | $6.1K |
| Sam Altman | 23.5% | — | $11.2K |
| Andy Burnham | 12% | -2.0 pts | $3.5K |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 6.5% | — | $17.9K |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 6.0% | -1.0 pts | $18.3K |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 4.9% | +0.2 pts | $16.2K |
| Javier Milei | 4.6% | -0.1 pts | $6.4K |
| Kim Jong Un | 4.4% | +0.5 pts | $13.4K |
| Joseph Aoun | 2.3% | -0.1 pts | $5.1K |
| Giorgia Meloni | 2.0% | -0.1 pts | $7.2K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $166.6K · 24h volume $2.5K · Liquidity $185.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Xi Jinping ■ Vladimir Putin ■ Mark Carney · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Xi Jinping at 96.5%, followed by Vladimir Putin at 88.5%, Mark Carney at 69.5%. The market has $166.6K in total volume and $2.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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