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Updated November 9, 2026 · 7 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva appears in 7 live Polymarket markets with $257.7K traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? at 64.8%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? at 0.3%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? at 14.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 64.8% | -4.7 pts | $104.2K | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.3% | — | $89.0K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 14.1% | +1.1 pts | $39.8K | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30? | 57% | -5.5 pts | $13.1K | 2026-12-01 |
| Who will Trump meet with by November 30? | 41.7% | +0.2 pts | $7.8K | 2026-12-01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $3.4K | 2026-11-05 |
| Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30? | 57.5% | -11.5 pts | $538 | 2026-12-01 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva.json (CC BY 4.0).
Elon Musk · Gavin Newsom · Donald Trump · Benjamin Netanyahu · Xi Jinping · Reza Pahlavi · Gadi Eizenkot · Mojtaba Khamenei · Naftali Bennett · Nicolás Maduro · Delcy Rodríguez · Sébastien Lecornu
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Polymarket View, “Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva appears in 7 live Polymarket markets with $257.7K traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? at 64.8%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? at 0.3%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? at 14.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?: 64.8% with $104.2K traded, as of November 9, 2026.
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds