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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 2, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Vladimir Putin at 72.5%, followed by Mohammed bin Salman at 53%, Kim Jong Un at 23.5%. The market has $1.14M in total volume and $15.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping (settled) | 100% | +0.1 pts | $158.4K |
| Delcy Rodríguez (settled) | 100% | +2.9 pts | $48.5K |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy (settled) | 100% | +1.6 pts | $39.8K |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa (settled) | 100% | +0.8 pts | $25.3K |
| Keir Starmer (settled) | 100% | +0.8 pts | $20.6K |
| Giorgia Meloni (settled) | 100% | +1.2 pts | $18.7K |
| Friedrich Merz (settled) | 100% | +1.3 pts | $14.1K |
| Abdel Fattah El-Sisi (settled) | 100% | +1.6 pts | $13.7K |
| Maria Corina Machado (settled) | 100% | +0.6 pts | $10.1K |
| Lula da Silva (settled) | 100% | +0.5 pts | $7.8K |
| Javier Milei (settled) | 100% | +6.2 pts | $7.2K |
| Vladimir Putin | 72.5% | -4.0 pts | $127.5K |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 53% | -2.0 pts | $16.7K |
| Kim Jong Un | 23.5% | +2.0 pts | $153.0K |
| Aleksandr Lukashenko | 13% | +0.5 pts | $33.9K |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.14M · 24h volume $15.5K · Liquidity $214.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Vladimir Putin ■ Mohammed bin Salman ■ Kim Jong Un · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Vladimir Putin at 72.5%, followed by Mohammed bin Salman at 53%, Kim Jong Un at 23.5%. The market has $1.14M in total volume and $15.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 2, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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