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Lula da Silva odds on Polymarket

Updated September 29, 2026 · 12 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Lula da Silva appears in 12 live Polymarket markets with $14.46M traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 41.5%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 23.4%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? at 97.2%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Lula da Silva

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41.5%-1.0 pts$12.57M2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?23.4%+0.2 pts$1.08M2026-10-04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?97.2%-0.9 pts$442.3K2027-07-01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?58.5%+0.5 pts$98.8K2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?11%-3.5 pts$83.5K2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?<0.1%—$66.3K2027-07-01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?0.9%-0.1 pts$58.9K2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?0.1%—$28.2K2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?0.4%—$15.9K2027-01-01
Who will Trump speak to in September?8.0%+1.0 pts$9.9K2026-09-30
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?1.5%-0.2 pts$5.1K2026-10-01
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?1.8%-0.2 pts$4832026-10-26

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Lula da Silva's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/lula-da-silva.json (CC BY 4.0).

Donald Trump · Gavin Newsom · Renan Santos · Xi Jinping · Tarcisio de Freitas · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Flávio Bolsonaro · Ratinho Júnior · Michelle Bolsonaro · Eduardo Bolsonaro · Fernando Haddad · Ronaldo Caiado

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Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Lula da Silva odds on Polymarket”, September 29, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/lula-da-silva/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Lula da Silva's odds on Polymarket?

Lula da Silva appears in 12 live Polymarket markets with $14.46M traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 41.5%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 23.4%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? at 97.2%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Lula da Silva?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 41.5% with $12.57M traded, as of September 29, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds