Home › Polymarket odds › People › Friedrich Merz
Updated September 26, 2026 · 6 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Friedrich Merz appears in 6 live Polymarket markets with $2.73M traded. The biggest: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? at 11.5%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 at 0.2%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? at 3.6%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.14M | 2027-01-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $367.0K | 2027-01-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | 3.6% | -0.9 pts | $115.7K | 2027-01-01 |
| Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? | 71% | -2.0 pts | $77.7K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $25.7K | 2027-01-01 |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? | 11.5% | — | $3.8K | 2026-09-30 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Friedrich Merz's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/friedrich-merz.json (CC BY 4.0).
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Polymarket View, “Friedrich Merz odds on Polymarket”, September 26, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/friedrich-merz/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Friedrich Merz appears in 6 live Polymarket markets with $2.73M traded. The biggest: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? at 11.5%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 at 0.2%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? at 3.6%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?: 11.5% with $2.14M traded, as of September 26, 2026.
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds