Home › Polymarket odds › People › Friedrich Merz
Updated November 9, 2026 · 7 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Friedrich Merz appears in 7 live Polymarket markets with $2.69M traded. The biggest: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? at 2.4%; Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? at 0.5%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? at 5.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 2.4% | — | $2.45M | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $87.8K | 2027-01-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | 5.5% | -0.4 pts | $56.3K | 2027-04-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | 1.1% | — | $48.4K | 2026-12-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | 37.5% | — | $15.6K | 2028-01-01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? | 21.5% | — | $11.8K | 2027-07-01 |
| Who will Trump speak to by November 30? | 93% | -1.6 pts | $11.2K | 2026-12-01 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Friedrich Merz's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/friedrich-merz.json (CC BY 4.0).
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Polymarket View, “Friedrich Merz odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/friedrich-merz/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Friedrich Merz appears in 7 live Polymarket markets with $2.69M traded. The biggest: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? at 2.4%; Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? at 0.5%; Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? at 5.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?: 2.4% with $2.45M traded, as of November 9, 2026.
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds