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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 30, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Xi Jinping, Zohran Mamdani, Byron Donalds, Dana White, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andy Burnham, Gianni Infantino, Delcy Rodriguez, Elon Musk, Emmanuel Macron, Mark Rutte, Mark Carney, Kevin Warsh, after $63.1K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 100% | +5.4 pts | $4.6K |
| Zohran Mamdani | 100% | +15.5 pts | $4.0K |
| Byron Donalds | 100% | +80.5 pts | $3.5K |
| Dana White | 100% | +2.6 pts | $3.5K |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +8.0 pts | $3.2K |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 100% | +5.8 pts | $2.9K |
| Andy Burnham | 100% | +13.0 pts | $2.9K |
| Gianni Infantino | 100% | +51.2 pts | $2.0K |
| Delcy Rodriguez | 100% | +50.2 pts | $1.7K |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +41.2 pts | $1.2K |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +26.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Mark Rutte | 100% | +62.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Mark Carney | 100% | +62.0 pts | $369 |
| Kevin Warsh | 100% | +33.9 pts | $273 |
| Warren Buffett | 0.0% | -2.0 pts | $11.8K |
7 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $63.1K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions.
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Pop Culture odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Xi Jinping, Zohran Mamdani, Byron Donalds, Dana White, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andy Burnham, Gianni Infantino, Delcy Rodriguez, Elon Musk, Emmanuel Macron, Mark Rutte, Mark Carney, Kevin Warsh, after $63.1K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is September 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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