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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 30, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Bryson DeChambeau at 60.6%, followed by Javier Milei at 57%, Nicki Minaj at 45.5%. The market has $55.7K in total volume and $2.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping (settled) | 100% | +5.4 pts | $4.6K |
| Zohran Mamdani (settled) | 100% | +15.5 pts | $4.0K |
| Dana White (settled) | 100% | +2.6 pts | $3.5K |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy (settled) | 100% | +8.0 pts | $3.2K |
| Claudia Sheinbaum (settled) | 100% | +5.8 pts | $2.9K |
| Andy Burnham (settled) | 100% | +13.0 pts | $2.9K |
| Gianni Infantino (settled) | 100% | +51.2 pts | $2.0K |
| Delcy Rodriguez (settled) | 100% | +50.2 pts | $1.7K |
| Emmanuel Macron (settled) | 100% | +26.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Mark Rutte (settled) | 100% | +62.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Mark Carney (settled) | 100% | +62.0 pts | $369 |
| Kevin Warsh (settled) | 100% | +33.9 pts | $273 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 60.6% | +42.0 pts | $2.5K |
| Javier Milei | 57% | -2.0 pts | $4.8K |
| Nicki Minaj | 45.5% | -3.5 pts | $3.2K |
7 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $55.7K · 24h volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Bryson DeChambeau ■ Javier Milei ■ Nicki Minaj · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions.
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Bryson DeChambeau at 60.6%, followed by Javier Milei at 57%, Nicki Minaj at 45.5%. The market has $55.7K in total volume and $2.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is September 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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