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Updated October 26, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of October 26, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 51.5% (No 48.5%), with $20.8K traded in total and $515 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.5% | -3.0 pts | $20.8K |
| No | 48.5% | +3.0 pts | — |
Total volume $20.8K · 24h volume $515 · Liquidity $1.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027. Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr). However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 26, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 51.5% (No 48.5%), with $20.8K traded in total and $515 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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