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Updated October 25, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of October 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Cruz Pérez Cuéllar at 44.5%, followed by Marco Bonilla Mendoza at 44%, Andrea Chávez Treviño at 9.5%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Pérez Cuéllar | 44.5% | -7.5 pts | $4.3K |
| Marco Bonilla Mendoza | 44% | +10.5 pts | $6.3K |
| Andrea Chávez Treviño | 9.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.5K |
| Martín Chaparro Payán | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $521 |
| Rosana Díaz Reyes | 0.3% | — | $531 |
| Santiago de la Peña Grajeda | 0.3% | — | $514 |
| Daniela Álvarez Hernández | 0.3% | — | $512 |
| Mario Vázquez Robles | 0.3% | — | $454 |
| Graciela Ortiz González | 0.2% | — | $562 |
| Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $544 |
| Gilberto Loya Chávez | 0.2% | — | $514 |
| Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez | 0.2% | — | $490 |
| Alfredo Lozoya Santillán | 0.2% | — | $477 |
| Jesús Valenciano García | 0.2% | — | $474 |
| Francisco Sánchez Villegas | 0.2% | — | $463 |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.9K · 24h volume $1.5K · Liquidity $205.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Cruz Pérez Cuéllar ■ Marco Bonilla Mendoza ■ Andrea Chávez Treviño · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Mexico odds · Politics odds
As of October 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Cruz Pérez Cuéllar at 44.5%, followed by Marco Bonilla Mendoza at 44%, Andrea Chávez Treviño at 9.5%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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