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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on $900B-$1.00T, after $47.4K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $900B-$1.00T | 100% | +10.9 pts | $13.6K |
| $800-$900B | 0.0% | -7.0 pts | $12.3K |
| $1.00-$1.10T | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $10.6K |
| $1.10T+ | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $5.2K |
| $700-$800B | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $2.8K |
| <$600B | 0.0% | — | $1.5K |
| $600-$700B | 0.0% | — | $1.5K |
Total volume $47.4K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $900B-$1.00T ■ $800-$900B ■ $1.00-$1.10T · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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This market has closed. At the last update (October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on $900B-$1.00T, after $47.4K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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