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Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 19, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: March 15, 2027

As of October 19, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 94%, followed by The Black Ball at 75%, Disclosure Day at 71%. The market has $22.8K in total volume and $5.0K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
The Odyssey94%
+0.5 pts$978
The Black Ball75%
-4.5 pts$806
Disclosure Day71%
+7.5 pts$3.1K
Dune: Part Three68.5%
-6.0 pts$1.1K
Project Hail Mary60.5%
+0.5 pts$1.0K
Behemoth!36%
-19.0 pts$5.1K
Wild Horse Nine26.5%
-0.5 pts$792
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth10.5%
-0.5 pts$3.6K
The Social Reckoning6.0%
-0.5 pts$1.2K
The Drama4.5%
-0.7 pts$342
Whalefall4.3%
+0.2 pts$2.4K
The Mandalorian and Grogu2.6%
+0.2 pts$2.4K

Total volume $22.8K · 24h volume $5.0K · Liquidity $20.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 19

■ The Odyssey ■ The Black Ball ■ Disclosure Day · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations?

As of October 19, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 94%, followed by The Black Ball at 75%, Disclosure Day at 71%. The market has $22.8K in total volume and $5.0K in the last 24 hours.

When does the Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations market end?

The event's listed end date is March 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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Polymarket View, “Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations — Polymarket odds”, October 19, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-original-score-nominations/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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