Home › Polymarket odds › Geopolitics & World
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.0 - 2.5M at 35%, followed by 2.5 - 3.0M at 29%, <2.0M at 16%. The market has $26.8K in total volume and $669 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 - 2.5M | 35% | -3.0 pts | $8.5K |
| 2.5 - 3.0M | 29% | +1.5 pts | $4.1K |
| <2.0M | 16% | -1.0 pts | $7.0K |
| 3.0 - 3.5M | 12.5% | -4.0 pts | $4.7K |
| 4.0M+ | 3.3% | +0.4 pts | $724 |
| 3.5 - 4.0M | 2.4% | -1.1 pts | $1.7K |
Total volume $26.8K · 24h volume $669 · Liquidity $28.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 2.0 - 2.5M ■ 2.5 - 3.0M ■ <2.0M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Iran odds · Middle East odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.0 - 2.5M at 35%, followed by 2.5 - 3.0M at 29%, <2.0M at 16%. The market has $26.8K in total volume and $669 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="USD x Iranian rials End of December? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/">USD x Iranian rials End of December? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “USD x Iranian rials End of December? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december.svg" alt="USD x Iranian rials End of December? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog