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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 81.5%, followed by Dune: Messiah at 12.8%, Project Hail Mary at 3.8%. The market has $182.7K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 81.5% | — | $64.9K |
| Dune: Messiah | 12.8% | +0.1 pts | $77.7K |
| Project Hail Mary | 3.8% | -0.2 pts | $12.4K |
| Wild Horse Nine | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $8.2K |
| The Social Reckoning | 0.2% | — | $6.5K |
| Disclosure Day | <0.1% | — | $6.8K |
| Wuthering Heights | <0.1% | — | $3.2K |
| The Bride! | <0.1% | — | $3.1K |
Total volume $182.7K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $55.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ The Odyssey ■ Dune: Messiah ■ Project Hail Mary · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds · Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 81.5%, followed by Dune: Messiah at 12.8%, Project Hail Mary at 3.8%. The market has $182.7K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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