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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 8, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Tim Cook, Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, after $51.5K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | -0.1 pts | $17.7K |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 100% | +5.3 pts | $5.9K |
| Sundar Pichai | 100% | +1.7 pts | $4.1K |
| Tim Cook | 100% | +6.4 pts | $3.8K |
| Jensen Huang | 100% | +0.6 pts | $3.1K |
| Satya Nadella | 100% | +2.1 pts | $2.8K |
| Sam Altman | 100% | +0.4 pts | $2.2K |
| John Ternus | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $4.5K |
| Dario Amodei | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.1K |
| Alex Karp | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.3K |
Total volume $51.5K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Tim Cook, Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, after $51.5K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 8, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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