Home › Polymarket odds › Geopolitics & World
Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 4.0% (No 96%), with $47.0K traded in total and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.0% | -0.4 pts | $47.0K |
| No | 96% | +0.4 pts | — |
Total volume $47.0K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $6.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds · Big Tech odds · Geopolitics odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 4.0% (No 96%), with $47.0K traded in total and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027/">Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? — Polymarket odds”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/will-ai-be-charged-with-a-crime-before-2027.svg" alt="Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog