Home › Polymarket odds › Economy & Fed
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Anthropic at 94.8% (OpenAI 5.1%), with $385.7K traded in total and $494 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 94.8% | +0.1 pts | $385.7K |
| OpenAI | 5.1% | -0.1 pts | — |
Total volume $385.7K · 24h volume $494 · Liquidity $33.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Anthropic ■ OpenAI · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: IPOs odds · AI odds · OpenAI odds · Anthropic odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Anthropic at 94.8% (OpenAI 5.1%), with $385.7K traded in total and $494 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/">Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first.svg" alt="Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog