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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 30.5%, followed by By October 31, 2026 at 8.0%. The market has $440.9K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2026 | 30.5% | +5.0 pts | $78.6K |
| By October 31, 2026 | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $136.2K |
| By March 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | +0.8 pts | $184.8K |
| By December 31, 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $41.2K |
Total volume $440.9K · 24h volume $2.6K · Liquidity $9.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2026 ■ By October 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds · OpenAI odds · Big Tech odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 30.5%, followed by By October 31, 2026 at 8.0%. The market has $440.9K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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