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Updated November 9, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
Polymarket prices San Antonio Spurs at 21.5% and Kalshi at 21.5%. The widest gap is on Golden State Warriors: 2.4% on Polymarket vs 4.5% on Kalshi (2.1 points). Prices checked November 9, 2026, before fees.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap | Cheaper to buy Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 21.5% | 21.5% | 0 | Same |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 15.5% | 14.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 13.4% | 12.5% | +0.9 pts | Kalshi |
| New York Knicks | 7.5% | 6.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Boston Celtics | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0 | Same |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 6.0% | 5.5% | +0.5 pts | Kalshi |
| Houston Rockets | 4.8% | 5.5% | -0.8 pts | Polymarket |
| Detroit Pistons | 4.5% | 3.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Golden State Warriors | 2.4% | 4.5% | -2.1 pts | Polymarket |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4.0% | 3.5% | +0.5 pts | Kalshi |
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in percentage points, before fees. Polymarket odds page for this event · Kalshi odds for this event on Kalshi View
Polymarket prices San Antonio Spurs at 21.5% and Kalshi at 21.5%. The widest gap is on Golden State Warriors: 2.4% on Polymarket vs 4.5% on Kalshi (2.1 points). Prices checked November 9, 2026, before fees.
They are separate order books with different traders, fees and access rules, so the same outcome can trade a few points apart. Fees, deposit and withdrawal costs and settlement rules can erase a small gap.
Other events priced on both: Fed decision in December 2026 · Which party wins the 2028 presidential election · Pro football champion (2026–27 season) · Stanley Cup 2027 · Champions League 2027 winner · Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first · US recession by the end of 2026. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Educational information, not financial advice. All pairs