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Updated September 24, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 22.5% and Kalshi at 25%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 22.5% on Polymarket vs 25% on Kalshi (2.5 points). Prices checked September 24, 2026, before fees.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap | Cheaper to buy Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 22.5% | 25% | -2.5 pts | Polymarket |
| Bayern Munich | 14.5% | 14% | +0.5 pts | Kalshi |
| Arsenal | 13.5% | 12.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Real Madrid | 11.5% | 12.5% | -1.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Manchester City | 8.5% | 9.5% | -1.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Liverpool | 4.5% | 3.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Inter Milan | 2.8% | 2.5% | +0.2 pts | Kalshi |
| Manchester United | 2.4% | 1.5% | +0.9 pts | Kalshi |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.8% | 1.5% | +0.3 pts | Kalshi |
| Aston Villa | 0.9% | 1.5% | -0.5 pts | Polymarket |
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in percentage points, before fees. Polymarket odds page for this event · Kalshi odds for this event on Kalshi View
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 22.5% and Kalshi at 25%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 22.5% on Polymarket vs 25% on Kalshi (2.5 points). Prices checked September 24, 2026, before fees.
They are separate order books with different traders, fees and access rules, so the same outcome can trade a few points apart. Fees, deposit and withdrawal costs and settlement rules can erase a small gap.
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