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Updated November 9, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 23.5% and Kalshi at 21.5%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 23.5% on Polymarket vs 21.5% on Kalshi (2.0 points). Prices checked November 9, 2026, before fees.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap | Cheaper to buy Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 23.5% | 21.5% | +2.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Real Madrid | 14.5% | 14% | +0.5 pts | Kalshi |
| Arsenal | 13.5% | 13.5% | 0 | Same |
| Bayern Munich | 12.5% | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Manchester City | 5.5% | 6.5% | -1.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Liverpool | 3.6% | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | Kalshi |
| Inter Milan | 1.7% | 1.5% | +0.2 pts | Kalshi |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.6% | 1.5% | +0.1 pts | Kalshi |
| Como | 1.6% | 1.5% | +0.1 pts | Kalshi |
| Aston Villa | 1.1% | 1.5% | -0.3 pts | Polymarket |
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in percentage points, before fees. Polymarket odds page for this event · Kalshi odds for this event on Kalshi View
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 23.5% and Kalshi at 21.5%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 23.5% on Polymarket vs 21.5% on Kalshi (2.0 points). Prices checked November 9, 2026, before fees.
They are separate order books with different traders, fees and access rules, so the same outcome can trade a few points apart. Fees, deposit and withdrawal costs and settlement rules can erase a small gap.
Other events priced on both: Fed decision in December 2026 · Which party wins the 2028 presidential election · Pro football champion (2026–27 season) · NBA champion 2027 · Stanley Cup 2027 · Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first · US recession by the end of 2026. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Educational information, not financial advice. All pairs