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Biggest Polymarket markets of all time

Updated November 9, 2026 · refreshed twice a day

The biggest Polymarket market of all time is World Cup Winner with $4.33B traded, ahead of Presidential Election Winner 2024 ($3.69B) and NBA Champion ($1.71B). The 100 biggest markets together traded $34.52B; the biggest one still open is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ($1.31B).

The 100 biggest Polymarket markets by volume

#MarketCategoryVolumeWinnerClosed / ends
1World Cup WinnerSports$4.33BSpain2026-07-20
2Presidential Election Winner 2024Politics & Elections$3.69BDonald Trump2024-11-06
3NBA ChampionSports$1.71BOklahoma City Thunder2025-06-23
4Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Politics & Elections$1.31Bopen2028-11-08
5Super Bowl Champion 2025Sports$1.15BEagles2025-02-10
6Champions League WinnerSports$1.00BParis Saint-Germain2025-06-01
7Premier League WinnerSports$809MLiverpool2025-04-27
8Presidential Election Winner 2028Politics & Elections$736Mopen2028-11-08
9Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Politics & Elections$732Mopen2028-11-08
10Super Bowl LX Winner (2026)Sports$704MSeattle2026-02-09
11Fed decision in January?Politics & Elections$659MNo change2026-01-28
12Popular Vote Winner 2024Politics & Elections$628MDonald Trump2024-11-12
13Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Politics & Elections$617MKevin Warsh2026-03-04
14US strikes Iran?Politics & Elections$529MMarch 312026-02-28
15Who will be inaugurated as President?Politics & Elections$501MDonald Trump2025-01-21
16US x Iran permanent peace deal?Politics & Elections$479MDecember 312026-06-18
17New York City Mayoral ElectionPolitics & Elections$430MZohran Mamdani2025-11-05
182026 NBA ChampionSports$427MNew York Knicks2026-06-14
19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?Economy & Fed$407MJune 30, 20262026-06-04
20Fed decision in December?Politics & Elections$394M25 bps decrease2025-12-10
21(Old) Romania ElectionOther markets$372MOther (incl. Georgescu)2025-05-01
22US forces enter Iran by..?Politics & Elections$367MDecember 312026-04-09
23Democratic Nominee 2024Politics & Elections$328MKamala Harris2024-08-06
24English Premier League WinnerSports$323MArsenal2026-05-20
25Next president of South Korea?Politics & Elections$291MLee Jae-myung2025-06-03
26NBA Eastern Conference ChampionSports$287MIndiana Pacers2025-06-01
27Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics & Elections$286MAbiy Ahmed2026-10-06
28Fed decision in April?Politics & Elections$284MNo change2026-04-29
29UEFA Champions League WinnerSports$281MPSG2026-05-30
30US x Iran ceasefire?Politics & Elections$280MApril 302026-04-11
31La Liga WinnerSports$278MBarcelona2025-05-16
32Fed decision in March?Politics & Elections$260MNo change2026-03-18
33Fed decision in October?Politics & Elections$252M25 bps decrease2025-10-31
34Stanley Cup Champion 2025Sports$249MFlorida Panthers2025-06-18
35Brazil Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$249MLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva2026-10-26
36Democratic VP nominee on election day?Politics & Elections$245MTim Walz2024-11-05
37Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture & Entertainment$242MNo2025-07-09
382025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship WinnerCulture & Entertainment$236MSam Soverel2025-12-19
39Romania Presidential Election WinnerPolitics & Elections$234MNicușor Dan2025-05-19
40Fed decision in September?Politics & Elections$221M25 bps decrease2025-09-17
41US x Iran ceasefire extended?Politics & Elections$210M—2026-05-01
42Fed Decision in September?Politics & Elections$208M25 bps increase2026-09-16
43F1 Drivers' ChampionSports$206MKimi Antonelli2026-11-05
44Eurovision Winner 2026Culture & Entertainment$194MBulgaria2026-05-17
45Pennsylvania Margin of VictoryPolitics & Elections$193MTrump by 1.5-2.0%2024-12-05
46Fed decision in January?Politics & Elections$191MNo Change2025-01-29
47Fed Interest Rates: November 2024Politics & Elections$190M25 bps decrease2024-11-07
48What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?Crypto$189M$120,0002026-01-01
49Who will be the Speaker of the House?Politics & Elections$188MMike Johnson2025-01-03
50NFL MVPSports$182MJosh Allen2025-02-07
51Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$169Mopen2027-04-19
52Fed Decision in June?Politics & Elections$165MNo change2026-06-17
53F1 Drivers ChampionSports$159MLando Norris2025-12-07
54US government shutdown Saturday?Politics & Elections$157MYes2026-02-04
55Ireland Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$152MCatherine Connolly2025-10-25
56Fed Decision in July?Politics & Elections$144MNo change2026-07-29
57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics & Elections$141MYes2026-05-09
58Fed decision in July?Politics & Elections$137MNo change2025-07-30
59Portugal Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$136MAntónio José Seguro (IND)2026-02-09
60Germany Parliamentary Election WinnerPolitics & Elections$135MCDU/CSU2025-02-24
61Romania: Bucharest Mayoral ElectionPolitics & Elections$134MCiprian Ciucu2025-12-08
62Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics & Elections$131MYes2026-03-04
63Poland Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$129MKarol Nawrocki2025-06-02
64Democratic VP nominee?Politics & Elections$128MTim Walz2024-08-06
65The Masters 2026: WinnerSports$126MRory McIlroy2026-10-05
66Netanyahu out?Politics & Elections$125Mopen2027-01-01
67Highest grossing movie in 2025?Culture & Entertainment$125MA Minecraft Movie2026-01-06
68Popular Vote Margin of Victory?Politics & Elections$124MGOP by 1-2%2024-12-18
69What price will Bitcoin hit in February?Crypto$121M↓ 80,0002026-03-01
70Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?Politics & Elections$121MMark Carney2025-05-01
71TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Politics & Elections$120MYes2025-01-22
72Highest grossing movie in 2024?Economy & Fed$118MInside Out 22025-01-03
73Electoral College Margin of Victory?Politics & Elections$116MGOP by 65-1042024-11-10
74College Football Champion 2025Sports$115MOhio State2025-01-21
75Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire?Geopolitics & World$113MApril 182026-04-21
76LALIGA WinnerSports$111MBarcelona2026-05-11
77What price will Bitcoin hit in January?Crypto$108M↑ 95,0002026-02-01
78Peru Presidential Election WinnerPolitics & Elections$107MKeiko Fujimori2026-07-06
79Fed decision in June?Politics & Elections$107MNo change2025-06-18
80Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Crypto$107M>$2B2026-01-03
81Eurovision Winner 2025Culture & Entertainment$106MAustria2025-05-18
82Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Sports$104MHarry Kane2026-10-27
83Fed Decision in October?Politics & Elections$102MNo change2026-10-28
84Next Prime Minister of HungaryPolitics & Elections$101MPéter Magyar2026-05-09
85Iran x Israel/US conflict ends?Politics & Elections$101MMay 152026-04-25
86Venezuela leader end of 2026?Politics & Elections$100Mopen2027-01-01
87What price will Bitcoin hit in March?Crypto$100M↑ 75,0002026-04-01
88Will Trump release Epstein files?Politics & Elections$98MDecember 312025-12-24
89NBA MVPSports$95MShai Gilgeous-Alexander2026-05-18
90Closest state in the Presidential election?Politics & Elections$94MWisconsin2024-12-18
91Republican VP nominee?Politics & Elections$93MJD Vance2024-07-16
92Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Politics & Elections$90Mopen2026-10-28
93Top Spotify Artist 2025Culture & Entertainment$90MBad Bunny2025-12-03
94Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports$89MYes2026-07-10
95Fed decision in May?Politics & Elections$88MNo change2025-05-07
96US x Venezuela military engagement?Politics & Elections$87MMarch 31, 20262026-01-05
97Chile Presidential ElectionPolitics & Elections$86MJosé Antonio Kast2025-12-15
98Spain vs. Argentina - More MarketsSports$86MTeam to Advance2026-07-19
99Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?Geopolitics & World$84M↑ $1002026-04-01
100Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?Culture & Entertainment$84MEight2026-01-05

Volume is the total traded over the market's life, as Polymarket's public data reports it for the whole event (all its outcomes). “Open” markets are still trading, so their totals keep growing.

By category

CategoryMarkets in the top 100Volume
Politics & Elections61$18.90B
Sports22$12.83B
Culture & Entertainment7$1.08B
Crypto5$624M
Economy & Fed2$525M
Other markets1$372M
Geopolitics & World2$197M

Biggest markets still open

MarketVolume so farEnds
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028$1.31B2028-11-08
Presidential Election Winner 2028$736M2028-11-08
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028$732M2028-11-08
Next French Presidential Election$169M2027-04-19
Netanyahu out?$125M2027-01-01
Venezuela leader end of 2026?$100M2027-01-01
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?$90M2026-10-28
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?$83M2027-01-01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$79M2027-01-01
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)$79M2026-11-03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?$78M2027-01-01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?$77M2027-01-01
Super Bowl LXI Winner (2027 NFL Champion)$72M2027-04-01
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion$71M2027-06-20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M2027-01-01
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?$56M2027-01-01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues?$50M2026-12-31
US announces end of Iranian blockade?$50M2027-01-01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M2027-01-01
Iran leader end of 2026?$41M2026-12-31

Free data: JSON · CSV (CC BY 4.0). More: Polymarket statistics · odds today · all free datasets.

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Quoting this ranking in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “The biggest Polymarket markets of all time”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/biggest-markets/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What is the biggest Polymarket market ever?

The biggest Polymarket market of all time is World Cup Winner with $4.33B traded, ahead of Presidential Election Winner 2024 ($3.69B) and NBA Champion ($1.71B). The 100 biggest markets together traded $34.52B; the biggest one still open is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ($1.31B).

How is volume counted?

As the total amount traded over the market's life across all its outcomes, from Polymarket's public data.

How often is this ranking updated?

Twice a day with the rest of the odds pages.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice.

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