Home › Learn › Price range markets
Explainer · live examples updated November 12, 2026, twice a day
Price range markets split one number into brackets: Bitcoin's price on a date (under 72,000, 72,000 to 74,000 and so on), the number of posts an account makes in a week, a film's opening weekend or a video's views. Each bracket is its own yes/no market, and exactly one bracket resolves Yes once the number is known.
The end brackets are open ("under X" and "X or more"), so together the brackets cover every possible value and their Yes prices add up to about 100¢. Each price is the market's chance for that bracket; read side by side they are the market's whole forecast of the number.
220-239 35.4% · 21 live outcomes · $578.2K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted …”
400m+ 49.5% · 6 live outcomes · $16.5K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box …”
$65B to $75B 31% · 9 live outcomes · $14.4K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
Live odds: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds · Elon Musk odds · Movies & Box Office odds
Work it out: overround calculator · crypto price probability calculator.
The number named in the rules is read from the source and at the time the rules give. The one bracket that contains it resolves Yes and pays $1 a share; every other bracket resolves No.
Exactly one bracket wins, so the chances across all brackets should total 100%. Small differences come from the bid-ask spreads; a total well above or below 100% is worth a look at the order books.
Up or Down markets · Crypto price markets · Tweet count markets · Temperature markets · Fed decision markets · Multi-outcome markets · “By date” markets · Yes/No markets · Mention markets · Sports game markets · Election markets · Economic data markets · Box office markets · Awards markets · Earnings markets · Stock price markets · Approval rating markets · Parlay-style markets · Long-dated markets
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice.