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Explainer · live examples updated November 9, 2026, twice a day
Crypto price markets come in two main forms. “Above ___ on [date]” markets ask whether the price at a set moment is above each listed level — one yes/no market per level. “What price will it hit” markets ask whether the price reaches each level at any point during a period, upward or downward.
Because every level is its own market, the prices form a ladder: the chance of staying above a low level is high, above a high level low. Reading across the ladder gives the market's whole price forecast.
↑ 76,000 18% · 14 live outcomes · $829.3K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market …”
↑ 77,000 1.8% · 13 live outcomes · $619.5K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at …”
↑ 77,500 75% · 18 live outcomes · $398.7K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
Live odds: Bitcoin odds · Ethereum odds · Crypto Prices odds
Work it out: crypto price probability calculator.
It is a set of yes/no markets, one per price level. Each pays $1 if Bitcoin's price at the time and source named in the rules is above that level.
It resolves Yes for every level the price reaches at any time during the period, whether or not it stays there.
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