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Pete Hegseth odds on Polymarket

Updated November 9, 2026 · 18 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Pete Hegseth appears in 18 live Polymarket markets with $33.15M traded. The biggest: Presidential Election Winner 2028 at <0.1%; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.1%; Venezuela leader end of 2026? at 0.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Pete Hegseth

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Presidential Election Winner 2028<0.1%—$10.60M2028-11-08
Republican Presidential Nominee 20280.1%—$9.56M2028-11-08
Venezuela leader end of 2026?0.1%—$9.38M2026-12-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?43.5%+9.0 pts$2.13M2027-01-01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?28.5%+7.0 pts$820.0K2026-12-01
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?40%+6.5 pts$342.1K2027-01-01
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?73.1%+12.9 pts$205.6K2027-01-01
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?78%+5.0 pts$32.1K2027-04-01
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?4.5%—$30.0K2026-12-31
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?73.5%+4.5 pts$18.1K2028-01-01
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?79%+6.0 pts$16.4K2027-07-01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?11%—$3.8K2026-11-15
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?<0.1%—$3.1K2026-12-31
Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?71.5%+3.0 pts$3.1K2027-07-01
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?26%-4.5 pts$2.6K2029-01-01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21?18%—$7052026-11-22
Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?6.0%—$1922027-04-01
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 202824.5%-11.5 pts$502028-11-08

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Pete Hegseth's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/pete-hegseth.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Cite this data

Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Pete Hegseth odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/pete-hegseth/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Pete Hegseth's odds on Polymarket?

Pete Hegseth appears in 18 live Polymarket markets with $33.15M traded. The biggest: Presidential Election Winner 2028 at ; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 at 0.1%; Venezuela leader end of 2026? at 0.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Pete Hegseth?

Presidential Election Winner 2028: <0.1% with $10.60M traded, as of November 9, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds

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