Explainer · live examples updated November 9, 2026, twice a day
Awards markets ask who wins a prize — an Oscar category, a Nobel Prize, the Ballon d'Or, an MTV award. Each nominee or candidate is its own yes/no outcome, and exactly one wins.
Prices react to nominations, precursor awards, betting-market leaks and insider chatter, and settle when the winner is announced.
Joe Burrow 27.9% · 29 live outcomes · $21.2K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February …”
The Odyssey 59.5% · 27 live outcomes · $13.1K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film …”
Malaysia 54.5% · 11 live outcomes · $10.1K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the country ranked first in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below. Countries will be ranked according to their official competition ranking in the Grand Final. If two or more countries share the same ranking, ties will be broken by the total …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
Live odds: Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
On the official announcement by the awarding body, as the rules specify, including how shared or unlisted winners are handled.
Prices are probabilities, not certainties: a 60% favourite still loses about four times in ten.
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