Home › Weekly recaps › Week of October 19 – October 25, 2026
Updating through Sunday · last update October 19, 00:50 UTC
Polymarket in the week of October 19 – October 25, 2026 (so far): the biggest move was Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31? — ↑ 107m 93.5% → 4.2% (-89.3 points). 53 new markets opened in the seven days to October 19.
| Market | Outcome | 7 days before | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? | 120M+ | 12% | 97.9% | +85.9 pts |
| Which coalition will form the next Romanian government? | PSD | 15.2% | 96.2% | +80.9 pts |
| MLB: 2026 NL Gold Glove Winners | Mauricio Dubón | 8.5% | 88.2% | +79.7 pts |
| Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released? | No release by October 31 | 27.5% | 94.5% | +67.0 pts |
| Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? | Yes | 33.5% | 99.8% | +66.3 pts |
| Measles cases in U.S. by October 31? | 4800+ | 24.5% | 90.5% | +66.0 pts |
| How strong will Trudy be? | Category 3 | 38.5% | 99.1% | +60.6 pts |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring RBs | Christian McCaffrey | 15.5% | 73.5% | +58.0 pts |
| What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026? | ↓ $180 | 16.5% | 73.5% | +57.0 pts |
| First snow of the 2026 season | New York City, NY by November 30 | 32% | 87% | +55.0 pts |
| Market | Outcome | 7 days before | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31? | ↑ 107m | 93.5% | 4.2% | -89.3 pts |
| Will StandX launch a token by ___? | June 30, 2027 | 77.5% | 1.5% | -76.1 pts |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released? | By October 31 | 70.5% | 7.0% | -63.5 pts |
| What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18? | ↑ 86,000 | 47% | 0.2% | -46.8 pts |
| Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania? | UDMR | 47% | 2.4% | -44.6 pts |
| US imports Russian diesel? | By October 31 | 47.5% | 3.3% | -44.2 pts |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October? | 5.32% | 57.5% | 13.8% | -43.7 pts |
| STRC hits $100 by… | October 31 | 65% | 22% | -43.0 pts |
| What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026? | ↑ $780 | 92% | 49.2% | -42.8 pts |
| UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next? | Paulo Costa | 59% | 18.5% | -40.5 pts |
Moves compare the price at the last update with the chart point closest to seven days earlier, across the most-traded long-running markets we track. Live versions: this week's biggest moves and new markets.
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