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House Races Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 100 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 100 live House Races markets with $282.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is MO-05 House Election Winner (Emanuel Cleaver (D) 88.5%), followed by CA-42 House Election Winner (Robert Garcia (D) 95.3%), NM-03 House Election Winner (Teresa Leger Fernández (D) 96.5%).

US House races and control of the House of Representatives. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live House Races markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
MO-05 House Election WinnerEmanuel Cleaver (D) 88.5%-3.6 pts$19.0KNov 5, 2026
CA-42 House Election WinnerRobert Garcia (D) 95.3%+0.8 pts$16.1KNov 4, 2026
NM-03 House Election WinnerTeresa Leger Fernández (D) 96.5%+4.0 pts$12.2KNov 4, 2026
TX-23 House Election WinnerBrandon Herrera (R) 60.5%-4.0 pts$11.7KNov 4, 2026
TX-35 House Election WinnerJohnny Garcia (D) 67%+3.5 pts$10.7KNov 5, 2026
OH-01 House Election WinnerGreg Landsman (D) 84.4%+0.4 pts$8.0KNov 5, 2026
AR-02 House Election WinnerFrench Hill (R) 81.5%-2.0 pts$7.6KNov 4, 2026
TN-04 House Election WinnerScott DesJarlais (R) 92.5%-1.5 pts$6.8KNov 4, 2026
CO-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6% 21.3%+12.9 pts$5.4KNov 4, 2026
VA-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50% 23.5%-2.5 pts$4.5KNov 4, 2026
CT-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35% 37%+12.5 pts$4.4KNov 4, 2026
NY-14 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50% 28.5%+9.0 pts$4.0KNov 4, 2026
CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)Ken Calvert 56.5%-9.5 pts$3.7KNov 4, 2026
NY-16 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50% 26.9%-1.9 pts$3.6KNov 4, 2026
SC-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 29.5%+7.0 pts$3.5KNov 4, 2026
MT-01 House Election WinnerAaron Flint (R) 67.5%$3.5KNov 5, 2026
FL-16 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6% 22.7%+15.2 pts$3.4KNov 4, 2026
NY-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 60-65% 34.6%+19.8 pts$3.4KNov 4, 2026
OH-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12% 23.5%+1.0 pts$3.2KNov 4, 2026
WY-AL House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40% 29.5%+4.0 pts$3.0KNov 4, 2026
NY-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6% 23%+2.9 pts$3.0KNov 4, 2026
VA-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 6-9% 19.5%+6.0 pts$2.9KNov 4, 2026
WI-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 65-70% 34.4%+9.7 pts$2.9KNov 4, 2026
NE-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9% 19.5%+1.5 pts$2.9KNov 4, 2026
NJ-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6% 19.5%+1.5 pts$2.8KNov 4, 2026
FL-20 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50% 32.5%+12.0 pts$2.8KNov 4, 2026
WI-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 12%+ 21.5%+11.5 pts$2.7KNov 4, 2026
IA-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9% 19.5%-7.5 pts$2.7KNov 4, 2026
NV-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20% 31.5%+12.5 pts$2.7KNov 4, 2026
TX-34 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 3-6% 18.1%$2.6KNov 4, 2026
WV-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40% 28.5%+7.5 pts$2.5KNov 4, 2026
FL-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15% 30.5%+12.5 pts$2.5KNov 4, 2026
NY-23 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 27.5%+0.5 pts$2.5KNov 4, 2026
MI-07 House Election WinnerWilliam Lawrence (D) 56.5%$2.5KNov 5, 2026
MA-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40% 29.5%+19.0 pts$2.4KNov 4, 2026
TX-30 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55% 21%+5.5 pts$2.4KNov 4, 2026
MI-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 3-6% 24%+5.5 pts$2.4KNov 4, 2026
NY-10 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 75-80% 36.5%+28.0 pts$2.3KNov 4, 2026
FL-24 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55% 28.5%+10.5 pts$2.3KNov 4, 2026
NY-18 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25% 25.5%+3.5 pts$2.3KNov 4, 2026

60 smaller markets are not shown; all 100 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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More Politics & Elections odds

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Frequently asked questions

What are the House Races odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 100 live House Races markets with $282.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is MO-05 House Election Winner (Emanuel Cleaver (D) 88.5%), followed by CA-42 House Election Winner (Robert Garcia (D) 95.3%), NM-03 House Election Winner (Teresa Leger Fernández (D) 96.5%).

How many House Races markets are open on Polymarket?

100 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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