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Explainer · live examples updated November 9, 2026, twice a day
Stock price markets ask whether a share or an index fund — the S&P 500 fund SPY, Meta, Amazon, Palantir and others — will trade at or beyond a set price during a week or a month. Each price level is its own yes/no market: upward levels count the highest price reached, downward levels the lowest.
Together the levels form a ladder, like the crypto “what price will it hit” markets: a level close to today's price is likely to be touched, a distant one is not.
↓ $184 89% · 17 live outcomes · $5.3K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during November 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades …”
$2.50-$3.00T 31% · 7 live outcomes · $2.0K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the …”
$720 94.5% · 7 live outcomes · $1.2K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 9, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
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Yes if any one-minute candle during regular trading hours in the stated week or month reaches the listed price (the high for upward levels, the low for downward ones), according to the price source in the rules; otherwise No.
No. The rules count only prices from the regular trading session of the stock's primary exchange.
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