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How Polymarket Mention Markets Work (What Will X Say?)

Explainer · live examples updated September 24, 2026, twice a day

Mention markets ask whether a speaker will say particular words during a specific event — a press conference, a speech, an earnings call. Each word or phrase is its own yes/no market.

They resolve on what was actually said during the event window, so the exact wording and the source used to check it matter more than in most markets.

Live examples

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

Melania 52% · 22 live outcomes · $40.7K traded in 24h

Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during the State Arrival Ceremony honoring President Xi Jinping of the People's Republic of China on September 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during Xi Jinping's State Arrival Ceremony on …”

What to check before trading

The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.

Live odds: Trump odds · Politics odds

Frequently asked questions

How do Polymarket mention markets resolve?

Each listed word resolves Yes if the named speaker says it during the event and in the form defined by the rules, as checked against the source the rules name.

Do variations of a word count?

Only as the rules allow — some count plurals and possessives, others require the exact word.

More market types

Up or Down markets · Crypto price markets · Tweet count markets · Temperature markets · Fed decision markets · Multi-outcome markets · “By date” markets · Yes/No markets · Sports game markets · Election markets · Economic data markets · Box office markets · Awards markets

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