Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Maine
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Maine in the 2026 midterms. Maine's Senate race: Troy Jackson (Democrat) leads at 67.5% (Lean Democrat). Maine's governor race: Hannah Pingree (Democrat) leads at 95.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 1 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Troy Jackson 67.5% | Susan Collins 32.5% | Lean Democrat | $1.85M | race page |
| Governor | Hannah Pingree 95.8% | Robert Charles 3.6% | Safe Democrat | $34.8K | race page |
| House ME-01 | Chellie Pingree 96% | Ronald Russell 3.1% | Safe Democrat | $47.6K | race page |
| House ME-02 | Matthew Dunlap 34.5% | Paul LePage 62% | Lean Republican | $16.8K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 66.5% / Republican 34% · Governor: Democrat 94.5% / Republican 4.7% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Maine in the 2026 midterms. Maine's Senate race: Troy Jackson (Democrat) leads at 67.5% (Lean Democrat). Maine's governor race: Hannah Pingree (Democrat) leads at 95.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 1 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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