Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › North Carolina
Updated October 10, 2026 at 17:36 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 96.4% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Roy Cooper 96.4% | Michael Whatley 3.6% | Safe Democrat | $218.5K | race page |
| House NC-01 | Don Davis 67.5% | Laurie Buckhout 33% | Lean Democrat | $18.2K | race page |
| House NC-02 | Deborah Ross 98.9% | Eugene Douglass 1.1% | Safe Democrat | $27.9K | race page |
| House NC-03 | Raymond Smith Jr. 16.5% | Greg Murphy 81.5% | Likely Republican | $26.1K | race page |
| House NC-04 | Valerie Foushee 97.2% | Max Ganorkar 2.5% | Safe Democrat | $84.1K | race page |
| House NC-05 | Chuck Hubbard 13.1% | Virginia Foxx 84.5% | Likely Republican | $45.7K | race page |
| House NC-06 | Cyril Jefferson 7.5% | Addison McDowell 90.5% | Likely Republican | $52.8K | race page |
| House NC-07 | Kimberly Hardy 12.5% | David Rouzer 86.5% | Likely Republican | $29.5K | race page |
| House NC-08 | Colby Watson 5.8% | Mark Harris 94.2% | Likely Republican | $32.4K | race page |
| House NC-09 | Richard Ojeda 17.5% | Richard Hudson 81.5% | Likely Republican | $30.6K | race page |
| House NC-10 | Ashley Bell 5.8% | Pat Harrigan 94.4% | Likely Republican | $11.5K | race page |
| House NC-11 | Jamie Ager 75% | Jennifer Balkcom 23.5% | Lean Democrat | $23.6K | race page |
| House NC-12 | Alma Adams 96% | Jack Codiga 1.9% | Safe Democrat | $66.3K | race page |
| House NC-13 | Paul Barringer 15% | Brad Knott 83.5% | Likely Republican | $9.8K | race page |
| House NC-14 | Lakesha Womack 12.5% | Tim Moore 85.5% | Likely Republican | $34.3K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 96% / Republican 3.9% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “North Carolina 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/north-carolina/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 96.4% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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