Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › North Carolina
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 94.5% (Likely Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Roy Cooper 94.5% | Michael Whatley 6.5% | Likely Democrat | $175.5K | race page |
| House NC-01 | Don Davis 62.5% | Laurie Buckhout 37.5% | Lean Democrat | $2.2K | race page |
| House NC-02 | Deborah Ross 94.5% | Eugene Douglass 3.5% | Likely Democrat | $16.1K | race page |
| House NC-03 | Raymond Smith Jr. 13.5% | Greg Murphy 85.5% | Likely Republican | $20.6K | race page |
| House NC-04 | Valerie Foushee 96.5% | Max Ganorkar 3.5% | Safe Democrat | $46.8K | race page |
| House NC-05 | Chuck Hubbard 13.5% | Virginia Foxx 86.5% | Likely Republican | $44.7K | race page |
| House NC-06 | Cyril Jefferson 8.5% | Addison McDowell 91.5% | Likely Republican | $49.6K | race page |
| House NC-07 | Kimberly Hardy 14.5% | David Rouzer 83.5% | Likely Republican | $29.0K | race page |
| House NC-08 | Colby Watson 3.4% | Mark Harris 96.2% | Safe Republican | $31.6K | race page |
| House NC-09 | Richard Ojeda 23.5% | Richard Hudson 75.5% | Lean Republican | $29.6K | race page |
| House NC-10 | Ashley Bell 3.1% | Pat Harrigan 97.4% | Safe Republican | $9.1K | race page |
| House NC-11 | Jamie Ager 61.5% | Jennifer Balkcom 36.5% | Lean Democrat | $15.9K | race page |
| House NC-12 | Alma Adams 96.6% | Jack Codiga 2.2% | Safe Democrat | $66.3K | race page |
| House NC-13 | Paul Barringer 15.5% | Brad Knott 83.5% | Likely Republican | $9.6K | race page |
| House NC-14 | Lakesha Womack 13.5% | Tim Moore 87.5% | Likely Republican | $33.9K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 93.7% / Republican 6.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 94.5% (Likely Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.