Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Washington
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Washington in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 8 and Republicans in 2 of 10 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House WA-01 | Suzan DelBene 95.3% | Mary Silva 1.8% | Safe Democrat | $45.8K | race page |
| House WA-02 | Rick Larsen 96.6% | Edwin Feller 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $32.3K | race page |
| House WA-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 90.5% | John Braun 10% | Likely Democrat | $35.8K | race page |
| House WA-04 | John Duresky 6.5% | Amanda McKinney 92% | Likely Republican | $57.7K | race page |
| House WA-05 | Carmela Conroy 18.4% | Michael Baumgartner 80.5% | Likely Republican | $57.1K | race page |
| House WA-06 | Emily Randall 94.5% | Teresa Fox 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $38.3K | race page |
| House WA-07 | Pramila Jayapal 96.7% | Nirav Sheth 2.2% | Safe Democrat | $34.6K | race page |
| House WA-08 | Kim Schrier 96.9% | Spencer Meline 2.6% | Safe Democrat | $22.8K | race page |
| House WA-09 | Adam Smith 96% | Doug Basler 2.4% | Safe Democrat | $51.4K | race page |
| House WA-10 | Marilyn Strickland 94.5% | Chris Chung 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $31.6K | race page |
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Washington in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 8 and Republicans in 2 of 10 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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