Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › South Carolina
Updated October 15, 2026 at 01:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for South Carolina in the 2026 midterms. South Carolina's Senate race: Darline Graham Nordone (Republican) leads at 84.5% (Likely Republican). South Carolina's governor race: Alan Wilson (Republican) leads at 94.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 6 of 7 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Annie Andrews 15.5% | Darline Graham Nordone 84.5% | Likely Republican | $785.0K | race page |
| Governor | Jermaine Johnson 4.9% | Alan Wilson 94.5% | Likely Republican | $18.9K | race page |
| House SC-01 | Nancy Lacore 29.5% | Jenny Costa Honeycutt 69.5% | Lean Republican | $83.3K | race page |
| House SC-02 | Zyon Khalifa 12.2% | Joe Wilson 88% | Likely Republican | $49.0K | race page |
| House SC-03 | Eunice Lehmacher 3.0% | Sheri Biggs 96.2% | Safe Republican | $54.0K | race page |
| House SC-04 | Courtney McClain 2.2% | William Timmons 95.5% | Safe Republican | $48.3K | race page |
| House SC-05 | Mallory Dittmer 7.0% | Wes Climer 93% | Likely Republican | $11.1K | race page |
| House SC-06 | Jim Clyburn 95.7% | John Peterson 3.1% | Safe Democrat | $44.3K | race page |
| House SC-07 | John Vincent 5.5% | Russell Fry 95.5% | Safe Republican | $54.9K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 14.5% / Republican 85.5% · Governor: Democrat 5.5% / Republican 94% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “South Carolina 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 15, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/south-carolina/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for South Carolina in the 2026 midterms. South Carolina's Senate race: Darline Graham Nordone (Republican) leads at 84.5% (Likely Republican). South Carolina's governor race: Alan Wilson (Republican) leads at 94.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 6 of 7 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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