Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New York
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New York in the 2026 midterms. New York's governor race: Kathy Hochul (Democrat) leads at 95% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 20 and Republicans in 6 of 26 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Kathy Hochul 95% | Bruce Blakeman 4.5% | Safe Democrat | $127.1K | race page |
| House NY-01 | Chris Gallant 17% | Nick LaLota 82.5% | Likely Republican | $45.6K | race page |
| House NY-02 | Patrick Halpin 13.5% | Andrew Garbarino 86% | Likely Republican | $18.0K | race page |
| House NY-03 | Tom Suozzi 92% | Mike LiPetri 7.5% | Likely Democrat | $26.6K | race page |
| House NY-04 | Laura Gillen 90.5% | Jeanine Driscoll 8.1% | Likely Democrat | $5.8K | race page |
| House NY-05 | Gregory Meeks 97.2% | George Marsh 1.0% | Safe Democrat | $63.9K | race page |
| House NY-06 | Grace Meng 95% | Joseph Chou 5.0% | Safe Democrat | $24.0K | race page |
| House NY-07 | Claire Valdez 95.5% | Melvin Rivera 0.7% | Safe Democrat | $30.4K | race page |
| House NY-08 | Hakeem Jeffries 96.7% | Lewis Mizrahi 1.7% | Safe Democrat | $32.7K | race page |
| House NY-09 | Yvette Clarke 95.2% | Joel Anabilah-Azumah 1.6% | Safe Democrat | $61.2K | race page |
| House NY-10 | Brad Lander 98.4% | Jennifer Moore 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $53.9K | race page |
| House NY-11 | Michael DeCillis 7.0% | Nicole Malliotakis 92.5% | Likely Republican | $26.2K | race page |
| House NY-12 | Micah Lasher 97.6% | Caroline Shinkle 1.6% | Safe Democrat | $32.9K | race page |
| House NY-13 | Darializa Avila Chevalier 97.2% | Jomo Williams 2.2% | Safe Democrat | $39.9K | race page |
| House NY-14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 96% | Diamant Hysenaj 3.5% | Safe Democrat | $55.6K | race page |
| House NY-15 | Ritchie Torres 98.5% | Stylo Sapaskis 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $47.6K | race page |
| House NY-16 | George Latimer 96% | Joseph Cinquemani 0.9% | Safe Democrat | $41.5K | race page |
| House NY-17 | Cait Conley 66.5% | Mike Lawler 31.5% | Lean Democrat | $20.0K | race page |
| House NY-18 | Pat Ryan 93.3% | Jacqueline Auringer 6.6% | Likely Democrat | $43.0K | race page |
| House NY-19 | Josh Riley 95.5% | Peter Oberacker 4.9% | Safe Democrat | $21.8K | race page |
| House NY-20 | Paul Tonko 95.6% | Ralph Ambrosio 3.6% | Safe Democrat | $35.4K | race page |
| House NY-21 | Blake Gendebien 20.5% | Anthony Constantino 77.5% | Lean Republican | $71.2K | race page |
| House NY-22 | John Mannion 93.5% | Kailee Buller 6.0% | Likely Democrat | $22.7K | race page |
| House NY-23 | Aaron Gies 4.7% | Nick Langworthy 95% | Likely Republican | $32.3K | race page |
| House NY-24 | Alissa Ellman 6.5% | Claudia Tenney 93% | Likely Republican | $22.7K | race page |
| House NY-25 | Joseph Morelle 95.5% | Virginia McIntyre 3.4% | Safe Democrat | $33.1K | race page |
| House NY-26 | Tim Kennedy 95.5% | Dennis Hannon 3.8% | Safe Democrat | $42.6K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 94% / Republican 6.1% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for New York in the 2026 midterms. New York's governor race: Kathy Hochul (Democrat) leads at 95% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 20 and Republicans in 6 of 26 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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