Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Utah
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Utah in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 3 of 4 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House UT-01 | Ben McAdams 94.5% | Riley Owen 3.8% | Likely Democrat | $42.2K | race page |
| House UT-02 | Peter Crosby 4.5% | Blake Moore 94.5% | Likely Republican | $15.9K | race page |
| House UT-03 | Kent Udell 4.5% | Celeste Maloy 95.5% | Safe Republican | $13.5K | race page |
| House UT-04 | Jonny Larsen 4.3% | Mike Kennedy 94.5% | Likely Republican | $42.3K | race page |
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Utah in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 3 of 4 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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