Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New Jersey
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New Jersey in the 2026 midterms. New Jersey's Senate race: Cory Booker (Democrat) leads at 96.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 10 and Republicans in 2 of 12 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Cory Booker 96.8% | Justin Murphy 3.4% | Safe Democrat | $21.2K | race page |
| House NJ-01 | Donald Norcross 94.5% | Damon Galdo 5.5% | Likely Democrat | $50.9K | race page |
| House NJ-02 | Zack Mullock 14.5% | Jeff Van Drew 83.5% | Likely Republican | $27.2K | race page |
| House NJ-03 | Herb Conaway 94.5% | Michael McGuire 5.5% | Likely Democrat | $32.2K | race page |
| House NJ-04 | Rachel Peace 4.5% | Chris Smith 95.6% | Safe Republican | $19.2K | race page |
| House NJ-05 | Josh Gottheimer 95.3% | Sean Kirrane 4.8% | Safe Democrat | $30.4K | race page |
| House NJ-06 | Frank Pallone 94.7% | Hillary Herzig 4.8% | Likely Democrat | $28.7K | race page |
| House NJ-07 | Rebecca Bennett 83.5% | Thomas Kean Jr. 17.5% | Likely Democrat | $22.2K | race page |
| House NJ-08 | Rob Menendez 95% | Republican 5.0% | Safe Democrat | $16.9K | race page |
| House NJ-09 | Nellie Pou 95.9% | Rosie Pino 3.4% | Safe Democrat | $37.5K | race page |
| House NJ-10 | LaMonica McIver 95.5% | Carmen Bucco 3.5% | Safe Democrat | $50.5K | race page |
| House NJ-11 | Analilia Mejia 95.5% | Joe Hathaway 5.5% | Safe Democrat | $42.9K | race page |
| House NJ-12 | Adam Hamawy 96.5% | Gregg Mele 3.3% | Safe Democrat | $29.5K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 97.8% / Republican 1.3% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for New Jersey in the 2026 midterms. New Jersey's Senate race: Cory Booker (Democrat) leads at 96.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 10 and Republicans in 2 of 12 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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