Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New Jersey
Updated October 10, 2026 at 17:36 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New Jersey in the 2026 midterms. New Jersey's Senate race: Cory Booker (Democrat) leads at 97.9% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 10 and Republicans in 2 of 12 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Cory Booker 97.9% | Justin Murphy 1.8% | Safe Democrat | $21.5K | race page |
| House NJ-01 | Donald Norcross 96% | Damon Galdo 4.0% | Safe Democrat | $53.8K | race page |
| House NJ-02 | Zack Mullock 18.5% | Jeff Van Drew 80% | Likely Republican | $31.9K | race page |
| House NJ-03 | Herb Conaway 97.9% | Michael McGuire 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $40.4K | race page |
| House NJ-04 | Rachel Peace 3.5% | Chris Smith 95.8% | Safe Republican | $19.6K | race page |
| House NJ-05 | Josh Gottheimer 96.6% | Sean Kirrane 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $31.5K | race page |
| House NJ-06 | Frank Pallone 96.9% | Hillary Herzig 3.2% | Safe Democrat | $34.6K | race page |
| House NJ-07 | Rebecca Bennett 90.5% | Thomas Kean Jr. 8.0% | Likely Democrat | $44.3K | race page |
| House NJ-08 | Rob Menendez 95% | Republican 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $49.3K | race page |
| House NJ-09 | Nellie Pou 96.6% | Rosie Pino 2.8% | Safe Democrat | $40.3K | race page |
| House NJ-10 | LaMonica McIver 98.9% | Carmen Bucco 0.2% | Safe Democrat | $57.8K | race page |
| House NJ-11 | Analilia Mejia 95.5% | Joe Hathaway 4.0% | Safe Democrat | $47.3K | race page |
| House NJ-12 | Adam Hamawy 96.5% | Gregg Mele 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $30.3K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 98.6% / Republican 1.4% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “New Jersey 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/new-jersey/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for New Jersey in the 2026 midterms. New Jersey's Senate race: Cory Booker (Democrat) leads at 97.9% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 10 and Republicans in 2 of 12 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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