Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Nevada
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Nevada in the 2026 midterms. Nevada's governor race: Joe Lombardo (Republican) leads at 50% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 3 and Republicans in 1 of 4 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Aaron Ford 49% | Joe Lombardo 50% | Toss-up | $171.1K | race page |
| House NV-01 | Dina Titus 94.5% | Carrie Buck 5.8% | Likely Democrat | $26.2K | race page |
| House NV-02 | Teresa Benitez-Thompson 21.5% | David Flippo 74.5% | Lean Republican | $31.4K | race page |
| House NV-03 | Susie Lee 92.5% | Martin O'Donnell 5.5% | Likely Democrat | $7.2K | race page |
| House NV-04 | Steven Horsford 96.2% | Cody Whipple 4.5% | Safe Democrat | $19.2K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 46.5% / Republican 53.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Nevada in the 2026 midterms. Nevada's governor race: Joe Lombardo (Republican) leads at 50% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 3 and Republicans in 1 of 4 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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