Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Nebraska
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Nebraska in the 2026 midterms. Nebraska's Senate race: Pete Ricketts (Republican) leads at 68.5% (Lean Republican). Nebraska's governor race: Jim Pillen (Republican) leads at 93.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 2 of 3 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Democrat 0.4% | Pete Ricketts 68.5% | Lean Republican | $375.6K | race page |
| Governor | Lynne Walz 6.5% | Jim Pillen 93.5% | Likely Republican | $14.1K | race page |
| House NE-01 | Chris Backemeyer 18.5% | Mike Flood 82.5% | Likely Republican | $40.9K | race page |
| House NE-02 | Denise Powell 93.5% | Brinker Harding 6.2% | Likely Democrat | $43.5K | race page |
| House NE-03 | Becky Stille 2.5% | Adrian Smith 96.2% | Safe Republican | $15.8K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 0.4% / Republican 70.5% · Governor: Democrat 7.8% / Republican 92.1% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Nebraska in the 2026 midterms. Nebraska's Senate race: Pete Ricketts (Republican) leads at 68.5% (Lean Republican). Nebraska's governor race: Jim Pillen (Republican) leads at 93.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 2 of 3 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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