Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Connecticut
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Ned Lamont 96.2% | Ryan Fazio 3.5% | Safe Democrat | $9.4K | race page |
| House CT-01 | Luke Bronin 95.7% | Amy Chai 4.6% | Safe Democrat | $11.7K | race page |
| House CT-02 | Joe Courtney 94.5% | George Austin 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $17.5K | race page |
| House CT-03 | Rosa DeLauro 94.5% | Chris Lancia 5.5% | Likely Democrat | $19.4K | race page |
| House CT-04 | Jim Himes 98% | Michael Goldstein 1.7% | Safe Democrat | $48.4K | race page |
| House CT-05 | Jahana Hayes 94.8% | Chris Shea 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $8.8K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 96.5% / Republican 3.2% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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