Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Connecticut
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 98.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Ned Lamont 98.8% | Ryan Fazio 1.8% | Safe Democrat | $22.2K | race page |
| House CT-01 | Luke Bronin 96.9% | Amy Chai 1.0% | Safe Democrat | $20.5K | race page |
| House CT-02 | Joe Courtney 98.2% | George Austin 1.2% | Safe Democrat | $20.6K | race page |
| House CT-03 | Rosa DeLauro 96.8% | Chris Lancia 2.5% | Safe Democrat | $31.6K | race page |
| House CT-04 | Jim Himes 97.4% | Michael Goldstein 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $49.6K | race page |
| House CT-05 | Jahana Hayes 98.2% | Chris Shea 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $12.5K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 98.8% / Republican 1.1% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Connecticut 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/connecticut/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 98.8% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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