Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Pennsylvania
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterms. Pennsylvania's governor race: Josh Shapiro (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 11 and Republicans in 6 of 17 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Josh Shapiro 99.9%+ | Stacy Garrity <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $177.6K | race page |
| House PA-01 | Bob Harvie 80.9% | Brian Fitzpatrick 19% | Likely Democrat | $178.6K | race page |
| House PA-02 | Brendan Boyle 99.9%+ | Jessica Arriaga <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $42.8K | race page |
| House PA-03 | Chris Rabb 99.6% | Republican <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $38.1K | race page |
| House PA-04 | Madeleine Dean 99.9% | Aurora Stuski <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $22.6K | race page |
| House PA-05 | Mary Gay Scanlon 99.9%+ | Nicholas Manganaro <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $39.7K | race page |
| House PA-06 | Chrissy Houlahan 96.9% | Marty Young 1.8% | Safe Democrat | $41.7K | race page |
| House PA-07 | Bob Brooks 98.2% | Ryan Mackenzie 1.9% | Safe Democrat | $55.4K | race page |
| House PA-08 | Paige Cognetti 98.4% | Rob Bresnahan 1.7% | Safe Democrat | $80.2K | race page |
| House PA-09 | Rachel Wallace 11.1% | Dan Meuser 85.5% | Likely Republican | $38.1K | race page |
| House PA-10 | Janelle Stelson 91.5% | Scott Perry 8.5% | Likely Democrat | $38.9K | race page |
| House PA-11 | Nancy Mannion 25.1% | Lloyd Smucker 75% | Lean Republican | $69.0K | race page |
| House PA-12 | Summer Lee 99.6% | James Hayes 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $25.7K | race page |
| House PA-13 | Beth Farnham 1.5% | John Joyce 98% | Safe Republican | $18.2K | race page |
| House PA-14 | Alan Bradstock 3.2% | Guy Reschenthaler 96.5% | Safe Republican | $44.9K | race page |
| House PA-15 | Ray Bilger 6.3% | Glenn Thompson 94.1% | Likely Republican | $31.1K | race page |
| House PA-16 | Justin Wagner 11.9% | Mike Kelly 88.6% | Likely Republican | $91.9K | race page |
| House PA-17 | Chris Deluzio 97% | Tony Guy 1.9% | Safe Democrat | $33.6K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Pennsylvania 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/pennsylvania/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterms. Pennsylvania's governor race: Josh Shapiro (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 11 and Republicans in 6 of 17 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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