Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Idaho
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Idaho in the 2026 midterms. Idaho's Senate race: Jim Risch (Republican) leads at 94.6% (Likely Republican). Idaho's governor race: Brad Little (Republican) leads at 96.8% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Democrat 0.9% | Jim Risch 94.6% | Likely Republican | $43.2K | race page |
| Governor | Terri Pickens 2.9% | Brad Little 96.8% | Safe Republican | $24.7K | race page |
| House ID-01 | Kaylee Peterson 4.7% | Russ Fulcher 95.2% | Safe Republican | $48.2K | race page |
| House ID-02 | Ellie Gilbreath 5.5% | Mike Simpson 94.8% | Likely Republican | $34.6K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 0.5% / Republican 92.5% · Governor: Democrat 2.6% / Republican 97.6% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Idaho in the 2026 midterms. Idaho's Senate race: Jim Risch (Republican) leads at 94.6% (Likely Republican). Idaho's governor race: Brad Little (Republican) leads at 96.8% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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