Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Missouri
Updated October 10, 2026 at 17:36 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House MO-01 | Wesley Bell 98% | Paul Berry 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $36.9K | race page |
| House MO-02 | Fred Wellman 26.5% | Ann Wagner 73.5% | Lean Republican | $46.5K | race page |
| House MO-03 | Bethany Mann 2.8% | Bob Onder 96.5% | Safe Republican | $42.1K | race page |
| House MO-04 | Jordan Herrera 4.6% | Mark Alford 95.6% | Safe Republican | $62.0K | race page |
| House MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver 96.4% | Rick Brattin 3.1% | Safe Democrat | $79.1K | race page |
| House MO-06 | Josh Smead 4.5% | Chris Stigall 95% | Safe Republican | $54.0K | race page |
| House MO-07 | Missi Hesketh 3.9% | Eric Burlison 96.3% | Safe Republican | $38.7K | race page |
| House MO-08 | Chris Reichard 2.5% | Jason Smith 96.4% | Safe Republican | $46.1K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Missouri 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/missouri/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.