Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Missouri
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House MO-01 | Wesley Bell 98% | Paul Berry 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $36.8K | race page |
| House MO-02 | Fred Wellman 26.5% | Ann Wagner 73.5% | Lean Republican | $27.3K | race page |
| House MO-03 | Bethany Mann 4.1% | Bob Onder 94% | Likely Republican | $35.9K | race page |
| House MO-04 | Jordan Herrera 7.5% | Mark Alford 92.5% | Likely Republican | $50.5K | race page |
| House MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver 87.4% | Rick Brattin 9.9% | Likely Democrat | $74.1K | race page |
| House MO-06 | Josh Smead 5.5% | Chris Stigall 94.5% | Likely Republican | $49.4K | race page |
| House MO-07 | Missi Hesketh 3.5% | Eric Burlison 95.5% | Safe Republican | $28.8K | race page |
| House MO-08 | Chris Reichard 2.2% | Jason Smith 96.4% | Safe Republican | $46.1K | race page |
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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