Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Missouri
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 3 and Republicans in 5 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House MO-01 | Wesley Bell 99.9%+ | Paul Berry 0.9% | Safe Democrat | $38.4K | race page |
| House MO-02 | Fred Wellman 80% | Ann Wagner 21% | Likely Democrat | $245.6K | race page |
| House MO-03 | Bethany Mann 3.2% | Bob Onder 97.4% | Safe Republican | $44.9K | race page |
| House MO-04 | Jordan Herrera 6.6% | Mark Alford 91.3% | Likely Republican | $75.3K | race page |
| House MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver 98.5% | Rick Brattin 1.6% | Safe Democrat | $92.6K | race page |
| House MO-06 | Josh Smead 1.3% | Chris Stigall 97.7% | Safe Republican | $69.5K | race page |
| House MO-07 | Missi Hesketh 4.7% | Eric Burlison 94.5% | Likely Republican | $39.9K | race page |
| House MO-08 | Chris Reichard 1.6% | Jason Smith 97.3% | Safe Republican | $47.1K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Missouri 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/missouri/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 3 and Republicans in 5 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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