Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Alabama
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Alabama in the 2026 midterms. Alabama's Senate race: Barry Moore (Republican) leads at 97.5% (Safe Republican). Alabama's governor race: Tommy Tuberville (Republican) leads at 89.1% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 5 of 7 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Everett Wess 2.3% | Barry Moore 97.5% | Safe Republican | $22.9K | race page |
| Governor | Doug Jones 11.1% | Tommy Tuberville 89.1% | Likely Republican | $83.8K | race page |
| House AL-01 | Clyde Jones Jr. 2.4% | Jerry Carl 97.5% | Safe Republican | $50.1K | race page |
| House AL-02 | Shomari Figures 70.5% | Rhett Marques 29.5% | Lean Democrat | $309.9K | race page |
| House AL-03 | Lee McInnis 0.7% | Mike Rogers 98.8% | Safe Republican | $45.6K | race page |
| House AL-04 | Amanda Pusczek <0.1% | Robert Aderholt 98.9% | Safe Republican | $39.0K | race page |
| House AL-05 | Andrew Sneed 6.3% | Dale Strong 93.5% | Likely Republican | $72.6K | race page |
| House AL-06 | Maurice Mercer 2.2% | Gary Palmer 97.7% | Safe Republican | $27.3K | race page |
| House AL-07 | Terri Sewell 99.4% | Ammie Akin 0.5% | Safe Democrat | $96.3K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 3.5% / Republican 97.4% · Governor: Democrat 12% / Republican 88% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Alabama 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/alabama/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Alabama in the 2026 midterms. Alabama's Senate race: Barry Moore (Republican) leads at 97.5% (Safe Republican). Alabama's governor race: Tommy Tuberville (Republican) leads at 89.1% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 5 of 7 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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