Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Maryland
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 96.6% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Wes Moore 96.6% | Dan Cox 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $22.3K | race page |
| House MD-01 | Dan Schwartz 10% | Andy Harris 90% | Likely Republican | $62.8K | race page |
| House MD-02 | Johnny Olszewski 95.5% | Dave Wallace 4.5% | Safe Democrat | $24.6K | race page |
| House MD-03 | Sarah Elfreth 95.5% | Berney Flowers 5.5% | Safe Democrat | $46.1K | race page |
| House MD-04 | Glenn Ivey 97.4% | George McDermott 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $47.1K | race page |
| House MD-05 | Adrian Boafo 95% | Chris Chaffee 2.8% | Safe Democrat | $18.3K | race page |
| House MD-06 | April McClain Delaney 94.5% | Robin Ficker 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $34.8K | race page |
| House MD-07 | Kweisi Mfume 96.2% | Scott Collier 2.9% | Safe Democrat | $24.4K | race page |
| House MD-08 | Jamie Raskin 97.4% | Cheryl Riley 2.5% | Safe Democrat | $28.0K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 96.7% / Republican 2.9% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 96.6% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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