Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Maryland
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Wes Moore 99.9%+ | Dan Cox <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $37.2K | race page |
| House MD-01 | Dan Schwartz 9.5% | Andy Harris 88% | Likely Republican | $112.1K | race page |
| House MD-02 | Johnny Olszewski 96.9% | Dave Wallace 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $25.2K | race page |
| House MD-03 | Sarah Elfreth 87.5% | Berney Flowers 2.2% | Likely Democrat | $54.5K | race page |
| House MD-04 | Glenn Ivey 99.2% | George McDermott 0.9% | Safe Democrat | $49.0K | race page |
| House MD-05 | Adrian Boafo 97.9% | Chris Chaffee 2.7% | Safe Democrat | $25.3K | race page |
| House MD-06 | April McClain Delaney 97.2% | Robin Ficker 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $36.5K | race page |
| House MD-07 | Kweisi Mfume 98.7% | Scott Collier 1.3% | Safe Democrat | $24.7K | race page |
| House MD-08 | Jamie Raskin 98.4% | Cheryl Riley 1.2% | Safe Democrat | $28.8K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Maryland 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/maryland/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.