Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › West Virginia
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for West Virginia in the 2026 midterms. West Virginia's Senate race: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) leads at 98.4% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Rachel Fetty Anderson 2.1% | Shelley Moore Capito 98.4% | Safe Republican | $16.0K | race page |
| House WV-01 | Vince George 2.1% | Carol Miller 98.2% | Safe Republican | $62.3K | race page |
| House WV-02 | Ace Parsi 3.0% | Riley Moore 96.8% | Safe Republican | $100.0K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 1.7% / Republican 97.9% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for West Virginia in the 2026 midterms. West Virginia's Senate race: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) leads at 98.4% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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