Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Vermont
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Vermont in the 2026 midterms. Vermont's governor race: Phil Scott (Republican) leads at 92% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 0 of 1 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Amanda Janoo 5.9% | Phil Scott 92% | Likely Republican | $76.4K | race page |
| House VT-AL | Becca Balint 94.5% | Gerald Malloy 5.2% | Likely Democrat | $40.7K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 7.2% / Republican 92.8% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Vermont in the 2026 midterms. Vermont's governor race: Phil Scott (Republican) leads at 92% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 0 of 1 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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