Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Rhode Island
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.5% (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jack Reed 99.5% | Raymond McKay 0.9% | Safe Democrat | $26.6K | race page |
| Governor | Helena Foulkes 96.2% | Republican 2.5% | Safe Democrat | $69.7K | race page |
| House RI-01 | Gabe Amo 96.9% | Kellie Keenan 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $43.3K | race page |
| House RI-02 | Seth Magaziner 96.4% | Victor Mellor 2.2% | Safe Democrat | $47.5K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 99% / Republican 1.1% · Governor: Democrat 95.7% / Republican 3.1% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.5% (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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