Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Rhode Island
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 98.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jack Reed 99.9%+ | Raymond McKay <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $34.2K | race page |
| Governor | Helena Foulkes 98.5% | Republican 0.8% | Safe Democrat | $78.5K | race page |
| House RI-01 | Gabe Amo 99.6% | Kellie Keenan <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $49.0K | race page |
| House RI-02 | Seth Magaziner 99.9%+ | Victor Mellor <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $68.7K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Rhode Island 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/rhode-island/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 98.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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