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Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket

Updated October 13, 2026 at 01:32 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 96% (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Rick Jackson (Republican) leads at 53.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

RaceDemocratRepublicanRatingVolume
SenateJon Ossoff 96%Mike Collins 3.9%Safe Democrat$222.6Krace page
GovernorKeisha Lance Bottoms 47.5%Rick Jackson 53.5%Toss-up$186.5Krace page
House GA-01Amanda Hollowell 10.5%Jim Kingston 89.5%Likely Republican$21.6Krace page
House GA-02Sanford Bishop 94.5%Matt Day 5.5%Likely Democrat$27.2Krace page
House GA-03Maura Keller 4.5%Brian Jack 96%Safe Republican$26.8Krace page
House GA-04Hank Johnson 98%James Duffie 1.7%Safe Democrat$48.2Krace page
House GA-05Nikema Williams 98.9%John Oscar Salvesen <0.1%Safe Democrat$53.7Krace page
House GA-06Lucy McBath 95.6%Kevin Martin 2.2%Safe Democrat$23.9Krace page
House GA-07Tony Kozycki 6.0%Rich McCormick 93.5%Likely Republican$41.9Krace page
House GA-08Kelly Esti 1.7%Austin Scott 98%Safe Republican$50.4Krace page
House GA-09Caitlyn Gegen 2.2%Andrew Clyde 95.7%Safe Republican$42.1Krace page
House GA-10Pam Delancy 2.4%Houston Gaines 95.5%Safe Republican$48.7Krace page
House GA-11Chris Harden 1.2%John Cowan 96.3%Safe Republican$75.8Krace page
House GA-12Ceretta Smith 8.0%Rick Allen 89.5%Likely Republican$57.1Krace page
House GA-13Jasmine Clark 98%Jonathan Chavez 1.8%Safe Democrat$39.5Krace page
House GA-14Shawn Harris 4.0%Clay Fuller 96.1%Safe Republican$19.3Krace page

Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 95.3% / Republican 4.7% · Governor: Democrat 45.5% / Republican 55.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).

Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.

National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast

On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).

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Polymarket View, “Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 13, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/georgia/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured in Georgia's 2026 elections?

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 96% (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Rick Jackson (Republican) leads at 53.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

How are the ratings set?

From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.

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