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Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket

Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 97.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

RaceDemocratRepublicanRatingVolume
SenateJon Ossoff 99.9%+Mike Collins <0.1%Safe Democrat$869.6Krace page
GovernorKeisha Lance Bottoms 97.2%Rick Jackson 2.2%Safe Democrat$800.8Krace page
House GA-01Amanda Hollowell 12.4%Jim Kingston 83.5%Likely Republican$45.4Krace page
House GA-02Sanford Bishop 99.9%+Matt Day <0.1%Safe Democrat$29.1Krace page
House GA-03Maura Keller 3.2%Brian Jack 97%Safe Republican$34.4Krace page
House GA-04Hank Johnson 99.9%+James Duffie 0.4%Safe Democrat$49.3Krace page
House GA-05Nikema Williams 99.9%John Oscar Salvesen 0.4%Safe Democrat$55.4Krace page
House GA-06Lucy McBath 99.2%Kevin Martin <0.1%Safe Democrat$26.1Krace page
House GA-07Tony Kozycki 3.5%Rich McCormick 96.8%Safe Republican$51.6Krace page
House GA-08Kelly Esti <0.1%Austin Scott 99.6%Safe Republican$54.1Krace page
House GA-09Caitlyn Gegen 0.5%Andrew Clyde 99.6%Safe Republican$67.5Krace page
House GA-10Pam Delancy 7.9%Houston Gaines 79.5%Lean Republican$70.7Krace page
House GA-11Chris Harden 5.5%John Cowan 93%Likely Republican$95.4Krace page
House GA-12Ceretta Smith 16%Rick Allen 83.5%Likely Republican$90.8Krace page
House GA-13Jasmine Clark 99.9%+Jonathan Chavez <0.1%Safe Democrat$41.2Krace page
House GA-14Shawn Harris 0.3%Clay Fuller 99.6%Safe Republican$21.8Krace page

Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 97.9% / Republican 1.9% (midpoint of bid and ask).

Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.

National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast

On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).

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Polymarket View, “Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/georgia/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured in Georgia's 2026 elections?

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 97.2% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

How are the ratings set?

From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.

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