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Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket

Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 94.5% (Likely Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 54.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

RaceDemocratRepublicanRatingVolume
SenateJon Ossoff 94.5%Mike Collins 5.4%Likely Democrat$166.0Krace page
GovernorKeisha Lance Bottoms 54.5%Rick Jackson 45.5%Toss-up$122.9Krace page
House GA-01Amanda Hollowell 6.5%Jim Kingston 92.5%Likely Republican$21.0Krace page
House GA-02Sanford Bishop 93%Matt Day 6.8%Likely Democrat$27.0Krace page
House GA-03Maura Keller 5.5%Brian Jack 94.5%Likely Republican$23.2Krace page
House GA-04Hank Johnson 98.2%James Duffie 1.3%Safe Democrat$48.1Krace page
House GA-05Nikema Williams 97.8%John Oscar Salvesen 0.1%Safe Democrat$53.3Krace page
House GA-06Lucy McBath 96.9%Kevin Martin 2.2%Safe Democrat$23.9Krace page
House GA-07Tony Kozycki 7.0%Rich McCormick 94%Likely Republican$40.7Krace page
House GA-08Kelly Esti 6.5%Austin Scott 93.5%Likely Republican$41.9Krace page
House GA-09Caitlyn Gegen 4.5%Andrew Clyde 94.5%Likely Republican$22.2Krace page
House GA-10Pam Delancy 2.0%Houston Gaines 95.3%Safe Republican$21.2Krace page
House GA-11Chris Harden 4.9%John Cowan 95.2%Safe Republican$57.4Krace page
House GA-12Ceretta Smith 10.5%Rick Allen 88.5%Likely Republican$43.8Krace page
House GA-13Jasmine Clark 96.9%Jonathan Chavez 2.6%Safe Democrat$39.5Krace page
House GA-14Shawn Harris 6.0%Clay Fuller 93.5%Likely Republican$16.9Krace page

Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 94.6% / Republican 5.8% · Governor: Democrat 53.5% / Republican 47.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).

Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.

National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured in Georgia's 2026 elections?

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 94.5% (Likely Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 54.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

How are the ratings set?

From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.

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