Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New Hampshire
Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 84.5% (Likely Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 90.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Chris Pappas 84.5% | John E. Sununu 14.5% | Likely Democrat | $239.9K | race page |
| Governor | Cinde Warmington 9.6% | Kelly Ayotte 90.5% | Likely Republican | $29.8K | race page |
| House NH-01 | Stefany Shaheen 91.5% | Anthony DiLorenzo 7.0% | Likely Democrat | $16.0K | race page |
| House NH-02 | Maggie Goodlander 92.4% | Lily Tang Williams 7.2% | Likely Democrat | $16.9K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 86.5% / Republican 13.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 84.5% (Likely Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 90.5% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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