Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New Hampshire
Updated November 4, 2026 at 02:00 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 92.2% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Chris Pappas 99.9%+ | John E. Sununu <0.1% | Safe Democrat | $1.14M | race page |
| Governor | Cinde Warmington 7.1% | Kelly Ayotte 92.2% | Likely Republican | $164.3K | race page |
| House NH-01 | Stefany Shaheen 97.9% | Anthony DiLorenzo 1.6% | Safe Democrat | $69.1K | race page |
| House NH-02 | Maggie Goodlander 96.4% | Lily Tang Williams 2.6% | Safe Democrat | $70.5K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “New Hampshire 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, November 4, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/new-hampshire/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 99.9%+ (Safe Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 92.2% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.