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Wyoming 2026 election odds on Polymarket

Updated September 24, 2026 at 17:34 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026

Polymarket odds for Wyoming in the 2026 midterms. Wyoming's Senate race: Harriet Hageman (Republican) leads at 96.9% (Safe Republican). Wyoming's governor race: Eric Barlow (Republican) leads at 95.3% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 1 of 1 districts with a market.

RaceDemocratRepublicanRatingVolume
SenateJames W. Byrd 2.8%Harriet Hageman 96.9%Safe Republican$17.9Krace page
GovernorKenneth Casner 3.5%Eric Barlow 95.3%Safe Republican$11.5Krace page
House WY-ALLisa Kinney 0.2%Chuck Gray 99%Safe Republican$46.9Krace page

Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 1.8% / Republican 98% · Governor: Democrat 4.0% / Republican 96.4% (midpoint of bid and ask).

Ratings from the favourite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.

National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured in Wyoming's 2026 elections?

Polymarket odds for Wyoming in the 2026 midterms. Wyoming's Senate race: Harriet Hageman (Republican) leads at 96.9% (Safe Republican). Wyoming's governor race: Eric Barlow (Republican) leads at 95.3% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 1 of 1 districts with a market.

How are the ratings set?

From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.

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