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November 2026 prediction market calendar

Updated October 1, 2026 · refreshed twice a day · November 1–30, 2026 · dates are Polymarket's listed end dates

298 Polymarket markets end in November 2026 (single games and short recurring series left out). The most traded: California Governor Election Winner (Nov 3, Xavier Becerra 95.5%); Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Nov 3, Democrats Sweep 62.5%); Which party will win the House in 2026? (Nov 3, Democratic Party 92.5%).

Key dates

By section: Economy, central banks and data releases (3) · Elections (253) · Politics and geopolitics (2) · Sports (14) · Tech and AI (19) · Culture and awards (2) · Other markets (5)

Economy, central banks and data releases

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 3Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in NovemberNo change 70%$59.1K
Nov 4Bank of Brazil decision in November?25 bps decrease 72%$31.9K
Nov 5Bank of Mexico Decision in November?No change 88.5%$33.3K

Elections

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 3California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra 95.5%$41.55M
Nov 3Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep 62.5%$14.72M
Nov 3Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party 92.5%$12.69M
Nov 3Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party 62.5%$5.39M
Nov 3Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 31.5%$3.83M
Nov 3Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?≤47 38.5%$3.03M
Nov 3Maine Senate Election WinnerTroy Jackson (D) 58.5%$2.03M
Nov 3Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D) 64.5%$1.62M
Nov 3Alaska Governor Election WinnerJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 79%$1.38M
Nov 3Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D) 72.5%$1.21M
Nov 3Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola 72.5%$1.08M
Nov 3Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D) 59.5%$846.9K
Nov 3How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?22–23 32%$699.1K
Nov 3Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerDavid Crowley (D) 80.5%$667.7K
Nov 3Iowa Senate Election WinnerAshley Hinson (R) 58.5%$654.5K
Nov 3Nebraska Senate Election WinnerPete Ricketts (R) 70.5%$464.3K
Nov 3Kansas Senate Election WinnerRoger Marshall (R) 71.5%$447.6K
Nov 3South Carolina Senate Election WinnerDarline Graham Nordone (R) 86.5%$438.6K
Nov 3Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 98.6%$415.8K
Nov 3Texas Governor Election WinnerGreg Abbott (R) 78.8%$323.9K
Nov 3Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Below 190 28.5%$313.4K
Nov 3New Hampshire Senate Election WinnerChris Pappas (D) 85.5%$289.1K
Nov 3Florida Governor Election WinnerByron Donalds (R) 78.5%$237.8K
Nov 3North Carolina Senate Election WinnerRoy Cooper (D) 95.5%$211.3K
Nov 3Michigan Governor Election WinnerJocelyn Benson (D) 91.5%$211.2K
Nov 3Georgia Senate Election WinnerJon Ossoff (D) 95.5%$195.9K
Nov 3Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 3.6%$183.1K
Nov 3Nevada Governor Election WinnerJoe Lombardo (R) 51.5%$179.0K
Nov 3Next Senate Majority Leader?Chuck Schumer 45%$171.4K
Nov 32026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10% 28%$149.3K
Nov 3Montana Senate Election WinnerKurt Alme (R) 91.5%$139.4K
Nov 3Georgia Governor Election WinnerKeisha Lance Bottoms (D) 51.5%$136.1K
Nov 3Minnesota Senate Election WinnerPeggy Flanagan (D) 90.5%$125.3K
Nov 3Vermont Governor Election WinnerPhil Scott (R) 83.5%$109.3K
Nov 3Mississippi Senate Election WinnerCindy Hyde-Smith (R) 92%$101.8K
Nov 3Idaho Senate Election WinnerJim Risch (R) 92.3%$100.5K
Nov 3Minnesota Governor Election WinnerAmy Klobuchar (D) 95.5%$87.5K
Nov 3TN-04 House Election WinnerScott DesJarlais (R) 94%$83.2K
Nov 3Which Senate races will be within 5%?Texas 68.5%$79.5K
Nov 28Taipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an 80.5%$341.4K

213 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Politics and geopolitics

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 3GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?Iowa 62.5%$1.8K
Nov 30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes 10.5%$521.7K

Sports

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 6NBA to announce expansion team in Las Vegas?By November 6 27%$1.5K
Nov 14WNBA: 2026 ChampionAtlanta Dream 27%$1.39M
Nov 14WNBA: 2026 Defensive Player of the YearAngel Reese 93.8%$38.8K
Nov 15MLB Postseason: Longest Game11+ innings 65.5%$4.2K
Nov 15MLB Postseason: Number of Walk-Offs1+ 98.7%$2.8K
Nov 17Least Played Map at VALORANT Champions 2026Abyss 44.1%$10.5K
Nov 17Which Paper Rex player will have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?something (PRX) 42.5%$6.8K
Nov 17Which NRG player will have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?mada 49%$5.5K
Nov 17Which G2 Esports player will have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?valyn 35%$5.3K
Nov 17Most Played Map at VALORANT Champions 2026Lotus 36.5%$5.1K
Nov 22NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 ChampionKyle Larson 39.6%$54.4K
Nov 28Worlds 2026: WinnerGen.G 36.5%$190.6K
Nov 30MLB: 2026 American League ChampionNew York Yankees 31.5%$4.47M
Nov 30MLB: 2026 National League ChampionLos Angeles Dodgers 41%$4.02M

Tech and AI

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 1When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?No release by November 1 48.5%$171.7K
Nov 19GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 6.0%$823.3K
Nov 30Gemini 4.0 released?By November 30 93.1%$889.4K
Nov 30Which company has the best AI model end of November?Google 48.5%$74.3K
Nov 30Meta's "Watermelon" model released?By November 30 88%$67.2K
Nov 30How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?475k to 500k 90.5%$65.2K
Nov 30Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released?By November 30 17%$38.7K
Nov 30Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?Google 46%$21.4K
Nov 30Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)Google 55%$18.1K
Nov 30Next DeepSeek Pro released?By November 30 42%$17.3K
Nov 30Second-best AI Lab end of November?Anthropic 44.5%$14.9K
Nov 30#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)Meta 36%$14.4K
Nov 30Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?Anthropic 74%$13.8K
Nov 30Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?OpenAI 60%$13.7K
Nov 30Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?Z.ai 22.5%$13.3K
Nov 30Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?Google 24.7%$9.7K
Nov 30Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?Google 46%$8.4K
Nov 30Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released?By November 30 76.5%$6.6K
Nov 30Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?Google 29%$6.1K

Culture and awards

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 18CMA Male Vocalist of the Year 2026Cody Johnson 48.5%$6.1K
Nov 26Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Kodak Black 91%$26.1K

Other markets

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Nov 1When will the Danube River return to normal levels?Does not return by November 1, 2026 51.3%$108.5K
Nov 1When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?No return before November 1, 2026 70.5%$74.2K
Nov 3How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?More than 550,000 98.8%$8.4K
Nov 30What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Other 53.8%$55.6K
Nov 30How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?0 58%$51.2K

Dates are the end dates Polymarket lists; deadlines set at 11:59 PM or midnight US Eastern Time count on their Eastern day. Trading stops at the end date and payout follows resolution (see how markets resolve). Results appear here once a market settles. Free data: /api/v1/calendar/november-2026.json (CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are the biggest prediction markets in November 2026?

California Governor Election Winner (Nov 3, Xavier Becerra 95.5%); Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Nov 3, Democrats Sweep 62.5%); Which party will win the House in 2026? (Nov 3, Democratic Party 92.5%). Figures as of October 1, 2026.

How are the dates on this calendar chosen?

Each market is placed on the end date Polymarket lists for it. Deadlines set at 11:59 PM or midnight US Eastern Time count on their Eastern day. Trading stops at the end date; payout follows once the market resolves under its rules, which can take longer.

Which markets are left out?

Single games and short recurring series (up/down, daily prices, weather, weekly post counts, stock price paths). Central-bank decisions, data releases, elections, awards and season-long sports markets are included.

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