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December 2026 prediction market calendar

Updated November 7, 2026 · refreshed twice a day · December 1–31, 2026 · dates are Polymarket's listed end dates

803 Polymarket markets end in December 2026 (single games and short recurring series left out); 6 have settled so far. The most traded: Netanyahu out? (Dec 31, By December 31 38%); Venezuela leader end of 2026? (Dec 31, Nicolás Maduro 92%); What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? (Dec 31, ↓ 70,000 53.5%).

Key dates

By section: Economy, central banks and data releases (56) · Elections (42) · Politics and geopolitics (333) · Sports (148) · Crypto (81) · Tech and AI (100) · Culture and awards (32) · Other markets (11)

Economy, central banks and data releases

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 2Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?<-0.3% 47.6% (as of 2026-11-06)$47.1K
Dec 9Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 76.5%$16.47M
Dec 9Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 76.5%$1.57M
Dec 9Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike 75.5%$617.6K
Dec 9Bank of Canada Decision in December?No Change 73%$219.6K
Dec 9Bank of Brazil decision in December?No Change 89%$64.0K
Dec 9Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?25 bps increase 65.5%$60.6K
Dec 9How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?0 70.5% (as of 2026-11-05)$47.6K
Dec 10Swiss National Bank decision in December?No Change 86.7% (as of 2026-11-04)$73.5K
Dec 17Bank of England decision in December?No change 51.5%$73.7K
Dec 17ECB Interest Rates: December 202625 bps increase 81.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$62.7K
Dec 18Bank of Japan Decision in December?25 bps increase 78%$44.1K
Dec 18Bank of Russia decision in December?No change 78% (as of 2026-11-05)$39.4K
Dec 18Central Bank of Colombia decision in DecemberNo change 64% (as of 2026-11-06)$38.5K
Dec 31How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps) 97.9%$55.61M
Dec 31What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?4.25% 75.7%$7.15M
Dec 31Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 2.1%$3.39M
Dec 31What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?↓ $3,500 9.0%$2.61M
Dec 31US recession by end of 2026?Yes 4.5%$2.43M
Dec 31What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.25% 76.2%$1.93M
Dec 31How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?2 (50 bps) 75%$1.52M
Dec 31How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.3% 20%$1.14M
Dec 31Oura IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO before January 2027 96%$624.1K
Dec 31How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.8% 68.5%$524.0K
Dec 31Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?December 31 8.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$474.6K
Dec 31How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.55% 64.5%$471.9K
Dec 31What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?↓ $7,200 48%$468.9K
Dec 31How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.40% 63%$291.7K
Dec 31How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 5.25% 91%$272.6K
Dec 31Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes 1.7% (as of 2026-11-03)$262.1K
Dec 31How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?4.90% 42%$258.5K
Dec 31NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes 8.8%$153.3K
Dec 31South Korea Annual Inflation 20262.7% to 2.9% 41.4%$85.8K
Dec 31Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?↑165 25%$68.4K
Dec 31Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes 97.9% (as of 2026-11-03)$65.1K
Dec 31What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?$7,000-$7,500 28.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$58.2K
Dec 31Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$125B 75.3% (as of 2026-11-04)$48.9K
Dec 31Trump publicly insults Warsh?By December 31 8.5%$42.3K
Dec 31Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member?By December 31 7.0% (as of 2026-11-03)$39.9K
Dec 31How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?4.80% 62.5%$37.8K

16 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Elections

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 5Gambia Presidential Election WinnerAdama Barrow 71.5%$16.7K
Dec 7Brantford—Brant South By-Election WinnerJoy O'Donnell 73%$5.4K
Dec 7Scarborough North By-Election WinnerJames Li 95.1% (as of 2026-11-06)$3.8K
Dec 7Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election WinnerGuy Cormier 94.5%$3.4K
Dec 7Yorkton—Melville By-Election WinnerNelson Pohl 95.6% (as of 2026-11-06)$3.2K
Dec 7Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election WinnerCaroline Émond 63.5%$1.8K
Dec 9Swiss Federal Council By-Election WinnerJean-Pierre Gallati 31.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$1.9K
Dec 31Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 3.0%$14.30M
Dec 31Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?✔ Yes$1.40M
Dec 31Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Rahm Emanuel 30.8%$1.36M
Dec 31French election called?By December 31, 2026 5.5%$1.11M
Dec 31Venezuela presidential election scheduled?By December 31, 2026 8.5%$674.5K
Dec 31Israeli Knesset election annulled?Yes 2.7%$151.5K
Dec 31Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run?By December 31, 2026 13% (as of 2026-11-06)$101.6K
Dec 31How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?6 87.5%$77.3K
Dec 31Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes 41.5%$63.6K
Dec 31Brazil presidential election annulled?Yes 3.1%$61.8K
Dec 31Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas 94.1% (as of 2026-11-06)$46.5K
Dec 31Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Yes 2.8% (as of 2026-11-06)$36.3K
Dec 31Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 25% 43.5%$33.7K
Dec 31Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?No HR in 2026 52.5% (as of 2026-11-02)$32.8K
Dec 31Greenland snap election called by December 31?Yes 5.0% (as of 2026-11-06)$29.1K
Dec 31Will Trump nationalize elections?Yes 6.0% (as of 2026-11-05)$26.2K
Dec 31Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas 80.7% (as of 2026-11-06)$24.0K
Dec 31Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by December 31?↑ 70% 15.5%$21.7K
Dec 31Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 12% 12.5%$18.6K
Dec 31Sweden snap election called in 2026?Yes 18.5%$14.9K
Dec 31Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 4% 31.5%$12.9K
Dec 31Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 4% 59.5% (as of 2026-11-05)$12.9K
Dec 31Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 15% 45.5%$9.8K
Dec 31Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker?By December 31 71% (as of 2026-11-02)$9.8K
Dec 31DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 3% 12.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$9.8K
Dec 31Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 2% 26%$8.5K
Dec 31National Guard deployed to election sites?By December 31 6.6% (as of 2026-11-06)$7.9K
Dec 31Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 12% 65%$7.2K
Dec 31Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↑ 10% 37% (as of 2026-11-06)$6.8K
Dec 31Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↑ 5% 8.0%$5.7K
Dec 31AOC's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 10% 29.5%$4.9K
Dec 31Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?Yes 14% (as of 2026-11-03)$4.2K
Dec 31AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?Yes 98.8% (as of 2026-11-04)$2.9K

2 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Politics and geopolitics

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 31Netanyahu out?By December 31 38%$125.28M
Dec 31Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro 92%$99.58M
Dec 31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 11.5%$78.30M
Dec 31Will the US confirm that aliens exist?By December 31 2.1%$77.80M
Dec 31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?By December 31 4.5%$77.37M
Dec 31US announces end of Iranian blockade?By December 31 40.9%$48.46M
Dec 31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues?Through December 31 44.5%$47.83M
Dec 31Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 1.7%$45.91M
Dec 31US-Iran ceasefire continues?✔ September 20, September 25, September 30 (+13 more)$41.59M
Dec 31Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei 90.6%$40.81M
Dec 31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 1.7%$36.01M
Dec 31US obtains Iranian enriched uranium?By December 31 2.8%$29.80M
Dec 31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 2.9%$29.57M
Dec 31Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?By December 31 2.2%$22.38M
Dec 31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?December 31 9.5%$21.35M
Dec 31Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile?By December 31 5.0%$18.59M
Dec 31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?By December 31 9.5%$18.02M
Dec 31Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 1.8%$17.03M
Dec 31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 9.5%$16.91M
Dec 31Will the U.S. invade Venezuela?By December 31 2.4%$14.24M
Dec 31Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 1.5%$11.86M
Dec 31Iran full airspace closure?By December 31 32%$11.20M
Dec 31Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 1.8%$11.04M
Dec 31Israel withdraws from Lebanon?By December 31, 2027 30.5%$8.67M
Dec 31Will the US officially declare war on Iran?By December 31 2.2%$7.87M
Dec 31How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?4 79%$7.76M
Dec 31US military action against Cuba?By December 31 11%$7.70M
Dec 31Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance?By December 31 10.5%$7.57M
Dec 31Crude Oil all time high?By December 31 8.5%$5.63M
Dec 31Will Russia invade a NATO country?By December 31, 2026 2.1%$5.61M
Dec 31Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?No meeting before 2027 95.2%$4.17M
Dec 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled?By December 31 5.0%$4.07M
Dec 31Will Hamas agree to disarm?By December 31, 2026 5.0%$3.85M
Dec 31US-Iran Hormuz Agreement?By December 31 34.5%$3.81M
Dec 31Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%$3.80M
Dec 31Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 3.4%$3.72M
Dec 31Iran charges Hormuz fees?By December 31 9.0%$3.63M
Dec 31China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 2.8%$3.52M
Dec 31US strike on Mexico?By December 31 2.8%$3.50M
Dec 31Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire?By December 31, 2027 41.5%$3.50M

293 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Sports

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 6Nitto ATP Finals: Player to QualifyValentin Vacherot 2.5%$164.0K
Dec 14Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage✔ Gen.G, T1, Dplus KIA (+5 more)$77.2K
Dec 18Manchester City punishment announced?By December 18 18%$71.2K
Dec 20NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 SeedsNotre Dame 69.5% (as of 2026-11-04)$69.4K
Dec 26NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award WinnerJeremiah Smith 37%$343.0K
Dec 31MLS Cup Winner 2026Nashville SC 23.1%$23.78M
Dec 31Worlds 2026 Winning RegionLCK (South Korea) 72.5%$1.86M
Dec 31MLB: AL Rookie of the YearKevin McGonigle 98.9%$1.69M
Dec 31Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?Max Martin 29%$1.41M
Dec 31MLB: 2026 NL MVPPete Crow-Armstrong 98%$1.39M
Dec 31MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young WinnerCam Schlittler 99.8%$1.30M
Dec 31MLB: NL Platinum Glove WinnerPete Crow-Armstrong 94.2%$1.19M
Dec 31MLB: NL Rookie of the YearSal Stewart 99.2%$1.17M
Dec 31MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young WinnerJacob Misiorowski 99.2%$1.12M
Dec 31MLB: AL Platinum Glove WinnerCeddanne Rafaela 87%$1.11M
Dec 31MLB: 2026 AL MVPYordan Alvarez 99.6%$1.06M
Dec 31MLS: 2026 Golden Boot WinnerLionel Messi 98.7%$1.01M
Dec 31Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?Sean Strickland 94.2%$1.00M
Dec 31MLS: 2026 Defender of the YearJalen Neal 40%$972.2K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?Justin Gaethje 95.1%$776.2K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?Islam Makhachev 92.6%$700.9K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?Islam Makhachev 96.5%$672.7K
Dec 31Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes 4.2%$664.6K
Dec 31Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?Islam/None in 2026 92.6%$603.9K
Dec 31Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes 4.5%$578.0K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?Petr Yan 97.2%$492.5K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?Ciryl Gane 69%$411.1K
Dec 31Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?Alexander Volkanovski 95.6%$357.8K
Dec 31Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?Alexander Volkov 5.6%$335.2K
Dec 31MLB: NL Manager of the YearPat Murphy 95.5% (as of 2026-11-04)$211.7K
Dec 31F1: Action of the YearMax Verstappen 71.9% (as of 2026-11-05)$203.0K
Dec 31Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Yes 11.7%$143.1K
Dec 31Liga MX: 2026 Apertura ChampionAmérica 23.5%$133.3K
Dec 31MLB: AL Manager of the YearWill Venable 95.7% (as of 2026-11-05)$104.9K
Dec 31Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Yes 2.1%$100.8K
Dec 31MLS: 2026 Most Valuable PlayerLionel Messi 91%$98.1K
Dec 31NFL: Tyreek Hill Next TeamKansas City Chiefs 25%$78.6K
Dec 31Next England National Team Head CoachSteven Gerrard 3.9% (as of 2026-11-02)$72.3K
Dec 31Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.1%$71.6K
Dec 31Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Yes 0.8% (as of 2026-11-05)$58.5K

108 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Crypto

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 25First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?None by December 25, 2026 96.1% (as of 2026-11-06)$479.8K
Dec 31What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↓ 70,000 53.5%$82.56M
Dec 31When will Bitcoin hit $150k?by December 31, 2027 25%$27.34M
Dec 31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes 2.5%$24.98M
Dec 31What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?↓ 2,000 49.5%$19.49M
Dec 31Bitcoin all time high by ___?December 31, 2026 2.6%$10.54M
Dec 31Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?December 31, 2027 43%$8.73M
Dec 31Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?$500M 5.3%$6.97M
Dec 31Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?$50M 80%$5.70M
Dec 31Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 2.4%$5.59M
Dec 31Will 1win launch a token by ___?✔ October 31, 2026, November 30, 2026, December 31, 2026$5.35M
Dec 31Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?$150M 70.5%$4.12M
Dec 31Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?$100M 5.3%$3.40M
Dec 31What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?↓ 70 64%$2.74M
Dec 31Ethereum all time high by ___?December 31, 2026 1.1%$2.66M
Dec 31What price will Solana hit in 2026?↓ 80 56%$2.42M
Dec 31Satoshi's identity be proven?By December 31 1.8%$2.00M
Dec 31StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1B 2.4%$1.82M
Dec 31Will Opensea launch a token by ___?December 31, 2027 37%$1.70M
Dec 31STRC hits $100 by…✔ December 31, November 30$1.58M
Dec 31Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 1.2%$1.12M
Dec 31Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?$100M 13.5%$1.08M
Dec 31Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026S&P 500 87.5%$997.8K
Dec 31What price will Lighter hit in 2026?↓ $2.5 35%$906.2K
Dec 31Bitcoin best month in 2026?December 4.0%$879.6K
Dec 31What price will Zcash hit in 2026?↑ 2000 24.2%$721.6K
Dec 31OKX IPO in 2026?Yes 3.1%$619.5K
Dec 31What price will XRP hit in 2026?↓ 1.00 43%$597.6K
Dec 31Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?1M+ 1.4%$569.5K
Dec 31Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?$10M 14.5%$532.4K
Dec 31Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?December 31, 2026 77.5%$490.5K
Dec 31Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 38.5%$485.1K
Dec 31Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?December 31, 2026 96%$457.5K
Dec 31XRP all time high by ___?December 31, 2026 3.0% (as of 2026-11-06)$449.3K
Dec 31Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?$100M 6.0%$417.6K
Dec 31Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?$10M 6.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$391.5K
Dec 31Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$3B 7.5% (as of 2026-11-04)$337.0K
Dec 31How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?>$1B 12%$332.3K
Dec 31Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes 2.5%$320.8K
Dec 31What price will Ethena hit in 2026?↓ 0.12 48% (as of 2026-11-06)$291.4K

41 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Tech and AI

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 31Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal 11%$18.43M
Dec 31Largest Company end of December 2026?Apple 63.5%$9.87M
Dec 31Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑5.5k 98.8%$8.31M
Dec 31IPOs before 2027?Anthropic 90%$7.68M
Dec 31Anthropic IPO by __?December 31, 2026 88.4%$6.81M
Dec 31Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Google 63.5%$4.01M
Dec 31OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2026 97.5%$2.58M
Dec 31Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 0.9%$1.98M
Dec 31Next Google Gemini Pro Model released?By December 31 11.5%$1.68M
Dec 31Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?By December 31 96.6%$1.38M
Dec 31GPT Astra 6.1+ released?By December 31 97.2%$900.7K
Dec 31Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 4.9%$722.5K
Dec 31How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<5 73%$533.7K
Dec 31Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.4%$521.0K
Dec 31Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product?By December 31, 2026 11.5%$511.5K
Dec 31How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0 87%$476.2K
Dec 31What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones 11% (as of 2026-11-06)$473.2K
Dec 31OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 6.5%$365.8K
Dec 31Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 99.8%$365.2K
Dec 31Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?1490+ 13.1% (as of 2026-11-06)$363.7K
Dec 31OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 3.1% (as of 2026-11-06)$320.6K
Dec 31Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?1580 38.5% (as of 2026-11-04)$257.0K
Dec 31Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 99.9%+ (as of 2026-11-06)$252.9K
Dec 31Gemini Carbon released?By December 31 98.5%$248.4K
Dec 31Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Anthropic 51.5%$241.2K
Dec 31How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?12-15 65.4%$230.4K
Dec 31Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?60%+ 35% (as of 2026-11-04)$181.8K
Dec 31Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?42%+ 73% (as of 2026-11-04)$177.0K
Dec 31Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down?By December 31 3.9% (as of 2026-11-02)$176.9K
Dec 31Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?JetBlue 6.3%$173.2K
Dec 313rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft 64.5%$160.3K
Dec 31Will Tesla release Optimus?By December 31 2.1% (as of 2026-11-05)$156.9K
Dec 31Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?1575 15% (as of 2026-11-06)$154.0K
Dec 31Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?55%+ 78.5% (as of 2026-11-02)$152.4K
Dec 31Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?60%+ 60%$143.5K
Dec 31Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?None in 2026 44.5% (as of 2026-11-05)$141.7K
Dec 31Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?58%+ 89%$141.4K
Dec 31Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?50%+ 14.5% (as of 2026-11-03)$137.3K
Dec 31Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?50%+ 15%$129.1K
Dec 31GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?$7.00+ 83%$123.6K

60 smaller markets in this section are in the JSON file.

Culture and awards

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 3Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?Pepas 67.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$39.9K
Dec 19Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?Yes 74.5%$13.5K
Dec 20"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office400m+ 44%$26.9K
Dec 20"Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office130m+ 34.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$9.1K
Dec 21"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?70+ 88.4% (as of 2026-11-06)$36.0K
Dec 31Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 0.7%$67.04M
Dec 31Next James Bond actor?Callum Turner 37.2%$2.06M
Dec 31The Game Awards: Game of the YearGrand Theft Auto VI 87%$124.4K
Dec 31Is Earth flat?Yes 0.6%$83.4K
Dec 31Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?South Sudan 26% (as of 2026-11-05)$79.2K
Dec 31Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes 10% (as of 2026-11-02)$78.3K
Dec 31The Game Awards: Best Game DirectionGrand Theft Auto VI 67.2% (as of 2026-11-04)$68.4K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026Erling Braut Haaland 70.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$65.7K
Dec 31"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?90+ 98.1%$62.7K
Dec 31Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes 10% (as of 2026-11-04)$62.6K
Dec 31The Game Awards: Best MultiplayerGears of War: E-Day 8.0%$55.6K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026Lindsay Clancy 81.5%$53.0K
Dec 31The Game Awards: Best Audio DesignGrand Theft Auto VI 53% (as of 2026-11-04)$41.9K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026The Odyssey 94% (as of 2026-11-05)$40.2K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms 73.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$39.8K
Dec 31The Game Awards: Best NarrativeGrand Theft Auto VI 50.5% (as of 2026-11-01)$38.0K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026Lindsay Clancy 81%$36.4K
Dec 31Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?Yes 2.2% (as of 2026-11-04)$34.0K
Dec 31Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026Inde Navarrette 89%$29.5K
Dec 31'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?50k+ 97%$20.7K
Dec 31Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains?maxx 18%$12.8K
Dec 31Oxford Word of the Year 2026 contains?rot 17.8% (as of 2026-11-04)$9.5K
Dec 31"The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" Metacritic Score?90+ 98.8% (as of 2026-11-06)$8.4K
Dec 31Collins Word of the Year 2026 contains?agent 5.7% (as of 2026-11-03)$7.6K
Dec 31Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes 82% (as of 2026-11-05)$3.0K
Dec 31Will Sneako be deported in 2026?Yes 2.4% (as of 2026-11-04)$2.4K
Dec 31Will Ethan Klein livestream again on YouTube in 2026?Yes 38% (as of 2026-11-02)$1.9K

Other markets

DateMarketOdds now / resultVolume
Dec 1Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?1.00 to 2.99 ft 76.2%$116.4K
Dec 1Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?6.00 ft or more 63.5%$72.2K
Dec 1October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)>1.49ºC 83% (as of 2026-11-05)$12.2K
Dec 3First snow of the 2026 seasonSalt Lake City, UT by November 30 96.9%$59.8K
Dec 3Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?Japan 52% (as of 2026-11-01)$3.1K
Dec 7Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?North Carolina 4.0% (as of 2026-11-06)$47.0K
Dec 9US Tornadoes in November 202610 - 24 33.5% (as of 2026-11-05)$1.2K
Dec 31Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.7%$18.94M
Dec 31Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.4%$813.2K
Dec 31Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes 3.5% (as of 2026-11-06)$67.7K
Dec 31Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?Yes 12.7%$8.1K

Dates are the end dates Polymarket lists; deadlines set at 11:59 PM or midnight US Eastern Time count on their Eastern day. Trading stops at the end date and payout follows resolution (see how markets resolve). Results appear here once a market settles. Free data: /api/v1/calendar/december-2026.json (CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are the biggest prediction markets in December 2026?

Netanyahu out? (Dec 31, By December 31 38%); Venezuela leader end of 2026? (Dec 31, Nicolás Maduro 92%); What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? (Dec 31, ↓ 70,000 53.5%). Figures as of November 7, 2026.

How are the dates on this calendar chosen?

Each market is placed on the end date Polymarket lists for it. Deadlines set at 11:59 PM or midnight US Eastern Time count on their Eastern day. Trading stops at the end date; payout follows once the market resolves under its rules, which can take longer.

Which markets are left out?

Single games and short recurring series (up/down, daily prices, weather, weekly post counts, stock price paths). Central-bank decisions, data releases, elections, awards and season-long sports markets are included.

October 2026 calendar · November 2026 calendar · Markets ending in the next 14 days · Event guides · All Polymarket odds

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